Topic
Awards Season Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Awards Season snapshot: "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability" — a captured 67% implied probability for Harry Kane on Polymarket; corpus through September 5, 2026.
Oscars, Grammys, Ballon d’Or, Nobel — who takes the trophy, as a probability.
4
Open snapshots
$56.4M
Comparable USD vol.
2
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Awards Season snapshotscorpus through September 5, 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability
Harry Kane · Polymarket · $32.5M vol
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 — Odds & Probability
Harry Kane · Polymarket · $42.8K vol
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · $23.7M vol
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the
The Odyssey · Polymarket · $127.9K vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Awards Season board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Awards Season markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Awards Season market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 67% implied probability for Harry Kane. Across the corpus through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 4 open-status Awards Season market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Awards Season snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.