Topic
Box Office Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Box Office snapshot: "Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?" — a captured 64% implied probability for Spider-Man: Brand New Day on Polymarket; corpus through November 5, 2026.
Opening-weekend gross markets — Hollywood’s tracking numbers, made tradable.
3
Open snapshots
$5.1M
Comparable USD vol.
15
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Box Office snapshotscorpus through November 5, 2026
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $249.3K vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds
Avengers: Doomsday · Polymarket · $2.7M vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds
Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Polymarket · $2.2M vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Box Office board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Box Office markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
"Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 16-19m · Polymarket · $322.3K vol
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 60-65m · Polymarket · $364.7K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
Final read: 22-24m · Polymarket · $213.3K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
Final read: 38-41m · Polymarket · $138K vol
“Insidious: Out of the Further” Opening Weekend Box
Final read: 25-28m · Polymarket · $96.6K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
Final read: 70-72m · Polymarket · $77.3K vol
“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
Final read: 20-23m · Polymarket · $99.9K vol
"The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 30-32m · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
Final read: 140-150m · Polymarket · $142.3K vol
"The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 47-52m · Polymarket · $117.8K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Box Office market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 64% implied probability for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Across the corpus through November 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 3 open-status Box Office market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Box Office snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through November 5, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.