Loading…
Topic
The most-traded Box Office market right now: ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office" — a 32% implied probability of 260-280m on Polymarket, as of July 22, 2026.
Opening-weekend gross markets — Hollywood’s tracking numbers, made tradable.
1
Live markets
$1.9M
Tracked volume
2
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
ARCHIVE
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Final read: 120-125m · Polymarket · $368.8K vol
Final read: >115m · Polymarket · $1.4M vol
FAQ
The most-traded live Box Office market is ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office", where the market implies a 32% chance of 260-280m on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 1 live Box Office market in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.