Topic
Box Office Prediction Markets
The latest open-status Box Office snapshot: "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds" — a captured 56% implied probability for Avengers: Doomsday on Polymarket; corpus through September 3, 2026.
Opening-weekend gross markets — Hollywood’s tracking numbers, made tradable.
1
Open snapshots
$2.1M
Comparable USD vol.
13
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status Box Office snapshotscorpus through September 3, 2026
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the Box Office board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled Box Office markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office
Final read: 22-24m · Polymarket · $213.3K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
Final read: 38-41m · Polymarket · $138K vol
“Insidious: Out of the Further” Opening Weekend Box
Final read: 25-28m · Polymarket · $96.6K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
Final read: 70-72m · Polymarket · $77.3K vol
“The End of Oak Street” Opening Weekend Box Office
Final read: 20-23m · Polymarket · $99.9K vol
"The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 30-32m · Polymarket · $63.2K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
Final read: 140-150m · Polymarket · $142.3K vol
"The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office — Odds
Final read: 47-52m · Polymarket · $117.8K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
Final read: 350m+ · Polymarket · $520.6K vol
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
Final read: >280m · Polymarket · $514.1K vol
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest Box Office market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 56% implied probability for Avengers: Doomsday. Across the corpus through September 3, 2026, W.E.T. records 1 open-status Box Office market page.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s Box Office snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 3, 2026 are attributed to Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.