Fight Night: Wint vs Chatman: Odds
By Corbin King · Updated August 22, 2026
As of August 22, 2026, the prediction market implies a 90% chance of Anthony Wint — Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 89%, 1 pt apart, on $93.6K in traded volume.
Implied probability & market prediction
Market favorite
Anthony Wint — market favorite
Kalshi + Polymarket · $93.6K traded
90%
Implied
Kalshi
90%
Polymarket
89%
Live market
View the live market on Kalshi
Prices move continuously — open Kalshi for the current line.
Driving coverage
Open the Newsroom →The slate — where it is still open
Ceremony
Fight Night
16 categories priced
Still contested
11
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Barbosa vs Kuse: Odds
Barbosa vs Kuse: Odds
Contested- Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse88%
- Marcio Barbosa88%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?81%
- Barbosa to win by KO/TKO?71%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds63%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds30%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Judice vs Chaves: Odds
Contested- Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves84%
- Carli Judice84%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds56%
- Fight to Go the Distance?51%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wint vs Chatman: Odds
Contested- Anthony Wint90%
- Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman89%
- Wint to win by KO/TKO?74%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?74%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds62%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds30%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Chatman vs Wint: Odds
Contested- Anthony Wint90%
- Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman88%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?66%
- Wint to win by KO/TKO?63%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
- Fight won by submission?30%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Schultz vs McVey: Odds
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds69%
- Jackson McVey62%
- Fight won by submission?43%
- Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey39%
- Wesley Schultz39%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds39%
+7 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Young vs Dorsainvil: Odds
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds84%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds76%
- Gauge Young63%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds62%
- Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil61%
- Fight to Go the Distance?58%
+8 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
de Ridder vs Dolidze: Odds
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds87%
- Reinier de Ridder78%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds55%
- Fight to Go the Distance?50%
- Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder23%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Mederos vs Jones: Odds
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos77%
- Mason Jones76%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
- Fight to Go the Distance?59%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Emmers vs Douglas: Odds
Contested- Lerryan Douglas77%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds68%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?67%
- Douglas to win by KO/TKO?64%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds41%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds28%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Padilla vs Haqparast: Odds
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
- Fight to Go the Distance?63%
- Christopher Padilla53%
- Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast52%
+11 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Dyer vs Reed: Odds
Contested- Shanelle Dyer88%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds59%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
- Dyer to win by KO/TKO?48%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds44%
+12 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Hernandez vs Rodrigues: Odds
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds80%
- Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues65%
- Anthony Hernandez65%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds45%
+15 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Nzechukwu vs Gaziev: Odds
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?61%
- Shamil Gaziev55%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds55%
- Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev45%
- Kennedy Nzechukwu45%
+16 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Spivac vs Petrino: Odds
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds65%
- Vitor Petrino59%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
- Serghei Spivac43%
- Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino42%
+20 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva: Odds
Clear favourite- Louie Sutherland65%
- Jose Montanha Da Silva37%
+28 pt margin · 2 nominees
Elkins vs Delvalle: Odds
Decided- Yadier Delvalle88%
- Darren Elkins13%
+75 pt margin · 2 nominees
Every category decided the same night, tightest race first. The lower bar is the runner-up — the gap between them is the margin.
Live markets — full navigation
Every market on this event, streaming — filter by type, tap any row for the live Kalshi & Polymarket price.
Odds — full market snapshotas of August 22, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman Moneyline | Polymarket | 89% | $1.6K |
Wint to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 74% | $33 |
Chatman to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 15% | — |
Anthony Wint | Kalshi | 90% | $30.2K |
Fight won by KO/TKO? | Polymarket | 74% | — |
O/U 0.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 62% | $2.6K |
O/U 1.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 30% | $701 |
O/U 2.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 18% | — |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. Odds move continuously; this is a dated snapshot — open the live venue for the current price.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five measurable inputs — traded volume, news corroboration, cross-venue agreement, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the August 22, 2026 snapshot · 52/100 · Developing Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 20/30 | $93.6K in matched volume across this event's markets. Log-scaled: thin books score near zero, $1M+ maxes the component. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue agreement | 18/20 | Kalshi 90% vs Polymarket 89% — a 1-pt gap. Two independent order books landing close is the strongest check a price can get. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 day of daily probability history on file. A longer tape shows how the price behaves, not just where it sits. |
The W.E.T. Score measures market microstructure — how much money, agreement, coverage, and corroboration sit behind a price. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Read it here. Act on it with the desk.
Everything above stays free — the score, the component breakdown, the cross-venue gap, the methodology. W.E.T. Premium doesn't unlock a hidden number; it adds the tooling that turns a reading into a move: the divergence scanner across every tracked market, the Index Desk, and the room where the desk argues it out.
Key takeaways
- Prediction markets price Anthony Wint at 90% implied probability across Kalshi and Polymarket.
- $94K has traded across 11 markets on this event.
- This is implied probability from live trading as of Saturday, August 22 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
Prediction markets make Anthony Wint the favorite in Fight Night: Wint vs Chatman, pricing the outcome at 90% implied probability on Kalshi and Polymarket as of Saturday, August 22. Kalshi and Polymarket are priced in line with each other. Here is the live market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 11 tracked markets, $94K has changed hands on this event — light but tradable interest. Anthony Wint leads at 90%, a strong favorite, ahead of Terrance Chatman at 11%. Kalshi and Polymarket are trading in line, which reads as a consensus price rather than an edge.
How sports markets like this settle
Sports markets resolve on the game itself — a final result, a score line, a player total. The implied probability is what traders are collectively paying for each outcome, repriced live as lineups, injuries, and in-game events land.
What could move it
Team news and injuries, roster and lineup changes, weather for outdoor games, and the way the line drifts from open to close as sharp money arrives are what move these prices. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 90% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 90¢ implies a 90% chance the market resolves YES: a live, tradable estimate of probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Saturday, August 22; odds move continuously, so open Kalshi and Polymarket for the current line.
Track this and every Sports market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Sports odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fight Night: Wint vs Chatman?
As of Saturday, August 22, Kalshi and Polymarket price Anthony Wint at 90% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of Anthony Wint?
The prediction market implies a 90% chance of Anthony Wint on Kalshi and Polymarket as of Saturday, August 22 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
Both venues list this event, so you can compare their prices directly. They are currently close, which reads as a consensus price. When two venues disagree on the same outcome, the gap itself is information.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are live prices from a prediction market, shown as implied probability — a reflection of what traders are collectively paying, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
Related topics
How Prediction Market Odds Work: Reading Prices as Probabilities
Prediction market prices are implied probabilities. See how YES/NO contracts settle at $1, how order books set odds, and how spreads compare to vig.
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/fight-night-wint-vs-chatman-odds-2026-08-23?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=fight-night-wint-vs-chatman-odds-2026-08-23">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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