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Topic
The most-traded UFC & MMA market right now: "Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov: Odds" — a 83% implied probability of Magomed Ankalaev on Kalshi + Polymarket, as of July 21, 2026.
Fight-night moneylines and method props — combat sports are among the few books listed on BOTH venues, so cross-venue divergence shows up here first.
8
Live markets
$3.6M
Tracked volume
12
Settled archives
THIS WEEK
Magomed Ankalaev · Kalshi + Polymarket · $153.6K vol
Ramazonbek Temirov · Kalshi + Polymarket · $72.5K vol
Nurullo Aliev · Kalshi + Polymarket · $61.2K vol
Valter Walker · Kalshi + Polymarket · $53.7K vol
Magomed Zaynukov · Kalshi + Polymarket · $50.3K vol
Axel Sola · Kalshi + Polymarket · $45.8K vol
Islam Dulatov · Kalshi + Polymarket · $37.7K vol
Sam Patterson · Kalshi + Polymarket · $27.3K vol
ARCHIVE
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Final read: Damien Anderson · Kalshi + Polymarket · $124.8K vol
Final read: Levi Rodrigues Jr · Kalshi + Polymarket · $42.4K vol
Final read: Alvin Hines · Kalshi + Polymarket · $103.3K vol
Final read: Dione Barbosa · Kalshi + Polymarket · $159.2K vol
Final read: Fatima Kline · Kalshi + Polymarket · $104K vol
Final read: Austin Bashi · Kalshi + Polymarket · $131.7K vol
Final read: Christian Duncan · Kalshi + Polymarket · $182.4K vol
Final read: Alden Coria · Kalshi + Polymarket · $163.2K vol
Final read: Dricus Du Plessis · Kalshi + Polymarket · $1.4M vol
Final read: Chase Hooper · Kalshi + Polymarket · $150.5K vol
FAQ
The most-traded live UFC & MMA market is "Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov: Odds", where the market implies a 83% chance of Magomed Ankalaev on Kalshi + Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 8 live UFC & MMA markets in total.
8 UFC & MMA matchups are on the board this week, including Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov (Sun, Jul 26), Fight Night: Erceg vs Temirov (Sun, Jul 26), Fight Night: Aliev vs Davis (Sun, Jul 26). Each links to a full market page with live implied probability and volume.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.