Fight Night: Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva: Odds
By Corbin V King · Updated August 25, 2026
This market has settled. Its final read (August 25, 2026) was a 65% implied probability for Louie Sutherland on Kalshi, with 78.5K contracts in venue-reported volume.
Final implied probability
Market favorite
Louie Sutherland — market favorite
Kalshi · 78.5K contracts reported volume
65%
Implied
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Fight Night
16 categories priced
Still contested
11
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Barbosa vs Kuse: Odds
Barbosa vs Kuse: Oddssettled
Contested- Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse88%
- Marcio Barbosa88%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?81%
- Barbosa to win by KO/TKO?71%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds63%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds30%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Judice vs Chaves: Oddssettled
Contested- Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves84%
- Carli Judice84%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds56%
- Fight to Go the Distance?51%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wint vs Chatman: Oddssettled
Contested- Anthony Wint90%
- Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman89%
- Wint to win by KO/TKO?74%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?74%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds62%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds30%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Chatman vs Wint: Oddssettled
Contested- Anthony Wint90%
- Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman88%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?66%
- Wint to win by KO/TKO?63%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
- Fight won by submission?30%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Schultz vs McVey: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds69%
- Jackson McVey62%
- Fight won by submission?43%
- Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey39%
- Wesley Schultz39%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds39%
+7 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Young vs Dorsainvil: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds84%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds76%
- Gauge Young63%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds62%
- Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil61%
- Fight to Go the Distance?58%
+8 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
de Ridder vs Dolidze: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds87%
- Reinier de Ridder78%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds55%
- Fight to Go the Distance?50%
- Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder23%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Mederos vs Jones: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos77%
- Mason Jones76%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
- Fight to Go the Distance?59%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Emmers vs Douglas: Oddssettled
Contested- Lerryan Douglas77%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds68%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?67%
- Douglas to win by KO/TKO?64%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds41%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds28%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Padilla vs Haqparast: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
- Fight to Go the Distance?63%
- Christopher Padilla53%
- Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast52%
+11 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Dyer vs Reed: Oddssettled
Contested- Shanelle Dyer88%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds59%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
- Dyer to win by KO/TKO?48%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds44%
+12 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Hernandez vs Rodrigues: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds80%
- Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues65%
- Anthony Hernandez65%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds45%
+15 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Nzechukwu vs Gaziev: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?61%
- Shamil Gaziev55%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds55%
- Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev45%
- Kennedy Nzechukwu45%
+16 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Spivac vs Petrino: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds65%
- Vitor Petrino59%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
- Serghei Spivac43%
- Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino42%
+20 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- Louie Sutherland65%
- Jose Montanha Da Silva37%
+28 pt margin · 2 nominees
Elkins vs Delvalle: Oddssettled
Decided- Yadier Delvalle88%
- Darren Elkins13%
+75 pt margin · 2 nominees
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled August 25, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Louie Sutherland | Kalshi | 65% | 47.8K contracts |
Jose Montanha Da Silva | Kalshi | 37% | 30.7K contracts |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 21/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 10/30 | 78.5K venue-reported contracts. Contract counts are not converted to dollars, so this component remains at the documented neutral 10/30. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 3/15 | 2 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 0/15 | 0 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- Final market read: Louie Sutherland at 65% implied probability on Kalshi.
- The odds moved from 59% at the start of coverage to 65% at close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 65% implied probability for Louie Sutherland on Kalshi.
The market's final read
The market's final lean was Louie Sutherland at 65% — favored, but not a lock. The attributed event snapshot reports 78.5K contracts in venue-native volume.
How the odds moved
W.E.T. tracked this market for 4 days: Louie Sutherland opened our coverage at 59%, ranged between 59% and 65%, and closed at 65%. Implied probability is the market's price read as a percentage — a live, venue-attributed estimate that repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Fight Night: Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva: Odds?
The market closed with Louie Sutherland at 65% implied probability on Kalshi. That was the final venue-attributed read before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Fight Night: Sutherland vs Montanha Da Silva: Odds right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 65% for Louie Sutherland. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
Markets & sources
Related topics
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