Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Evidence & research ↓Live board · a full analysis page publishes if this event qualifies for daily coverage.
The Market Read
9 listings in the selected Kalshi event.
No event-level probability, favorite, or “tight race” is inferred across these propositions. Use the listing table for each venue’s exact question and observation.
Driving Coverage
Open the Newsroom →Scanning the wire…
Checking other venues. The selected venue listings are available below.
Markets on this event
Venue-attributed quotes · open listing detailsAt least 50%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·3.2K contracts vol
At least 46%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·1.4K contracts vol
At least 44%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·1.1K contracts vol
At least 48%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·625 contracts vol
At least 45%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·401 contracts vol
At least 40%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·321 contracts vol
At least 42%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·10 contracts vol
At least 37%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·6 contracts vol
At least 53%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·6 contracts vol