ElectionsNov 4

Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)

Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

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9 listings in the selected Kalshi event.

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At least 50%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·3.2K contracts vol

Yes 7%No 93%

At least 46%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·1.4K contracts vol

Yes 18%No 82%

At least 44%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·1.1K contracts vol

Yes 53%No 47%

At least 48%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·625 contracts vol

Yes 9%No 91%

At least 45%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·401 contracts vol

Yes 39%No 61%

At least 40%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·321 contracts vol

Yes 82%No 18%

At least 42%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·10 contracts vol

Yes 54%No 46%

At least 37%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·6 contracts vol

Yes 97%No 3%

At least 53%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Kalshi·Observed 2026-09-29 02:30 UTC·6 contracts vol

Yes 6%No 94%

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