The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Saturday, September 12, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 89 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Julianne Moore · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Democratic Party · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
October 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Alexandru Nazare · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
160-179 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
25 bps increase · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 82%
Sports · Tommy Paul 62%
Sports · Luciano Darderi 80%
Sports · Taylor Fritz 85%
Sports · Marta Kostyuk 76%
Sports · Jiri Lehecka 62%
Sports · Daniil Medvedev 74%
Sports · Alex Michelsen 65%
Sports · Sorana Cirstea 63%
Sports · Jessica Pegula 85%
Market snapshots
940 - 950m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Alexander Zverev · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Renato Moicano · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Robelis Despaigne · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Joshua van · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Republican 35-40% · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Pittsburgh · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Shelton advances to US Open 2026 men’s final for Zverev showdown — Al Jazeera
- 'Let's do it for the USA': Shelton looks to end wait in US Open final vs. Zverev — ESPN
- American Shelton to face Zverev in US Open final — BBC
- 'Red rag to a bull' - Sabalenka's extra motivation to win US Open — BBC
- Flood Watch issued September 12 at 1:54AM EDT until September 13 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued September 12 at 1:54AM EDT until September 13 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- Trump personality cult alive and well in Dallas – will it power Republican midterm success? — The Guardian
- Flood Watch issued September 12 at 3:50AM EDT until September 13 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY — National Weather Service
- Russia strikes cargo vessels, steel plants across Ukraine — Al Jazeera
- Ukraine faces 'toughest winter' since Russia's full-scale invasion, UN official tells BBC — BBC
- Inside the Discussions at AI Companies Over a Superintelligence Doomsday — New York Times
- Elon Musk Has Pledged to Rid His Platform, X, of Child Sexual Abuse, but It Persists — New York Times
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.