The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Friday, September 11, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Democratic Party down 26 pts to 64%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Democratic Party · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Cam Schlittler · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
160-179 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mariah Carey · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Max Martin · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Linke · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 74%
Sports · Susan Bandecchi 82%
Sports · Zizou Bergs 71%
Sports · Anouk Koevermans 78%
Sports · Ignacio Buse 56%
Sports · Elena Rybakina 84%
Sports · Jacob Fearnley 55%
Sports · Vilius Gaubas 76%
Sports · Lucie Havlickova 76%
Sports · Shintaro Mochizuki 55%
Market snapshots
950 - 960m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Republican 65-70% · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Alabama · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Texas A&M · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Pittsburgh · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Elon Musk Has Pledged to Rid His Platform, X, of Child Sexual Abuse, but It Persists — New York Times
- U.S. diesel price tops $6 per gallon, a record high as Ukraine and Iran wars ripple through economy — CNBC
- Missouri UPS worker two weeks from retirement fatally struck by company vehicle — The Guardian
- Russia accused of ‘rapidly growing’ attacks on civilian infrastructure after five killed in Ukraine – Europe live — The Guardian
- Anthropic says Claude used for cyberattacks and surveillance — Cointelegraph
- Anthropic blocks possible attempt to use AI to make biological weapons — BBC
- Anthropic blocks effort to use AI to research potential biological weapons — Sky News
- As Russia Again Draws Near, a Frontline City Fears Obliteration This Time — New York Times
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 9 at 1:11AM PDT until September 10 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 9 at 1:11AM PDT until September 10 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Anthropic researcher says AI has more than 10% chance of 'killing all humans' after colleague quits — CNBC
- 📈 College football Power Rankings: Who's No. 1? — ESPN
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.