The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, September 10, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 88 pts to 96%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
160-179 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Democratic Party · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mariah Carey · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Max Martin · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Before Jan 2028 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Heather Watson 73%
Sports · Felix Auger-Aliassime 73%
Sports · Alexander Blockx 83%
Sports · Luciano Darderi 57%
Sports · Carlos Alcaraz 92%
Sports · Taylor Fritz 90%
Sports · Stefanos Tsitsipas 69%
Sports · Marta Kostyuk 88%
Sports · Daniil Medvedev 95%
Sports · Andrey Rublev 57%
Market snapshots
950 - 960m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Alexander Zverev · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Aryna Sabalenka · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Republican 40-45% · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles C · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Pittsburgh · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- An ECB rate hike is ‘all but certain’ — but investors divided on what comes next — CNBC
- Trump warns Tehran over Pickaxe Mountain activity; U.S.-Iran exchange attacks on ships near Hormuz — CNBC
- Help! We Canceled a Vacation Rental 2 Years Ago. Where’s Our $13,000? — New York Times
- Homeland security agent charged with child rape in Alabama, officials say — The Guardian
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 9 at 1:11AM PDT until September 10 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 9 at 1:11AM PDT until September 10 at 8:00PM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA — National Weather Service
- Anthropic researcher says AI has more than 10% chance of 'killing all humans' after colleague quits — CNBC
- 📈 College football Power Rankings: Who's No. 1? — ESPN
- How Amazon’s Zoox Is Taking On Waymo in San Francisco — New York Times
- Trump told Putin U.S.-Russia ties could be 'fully restored' with swift end to Ukraine war, Kremlin says — CNBC
- Saudi Arabia Vows Retaliation After Houthi Attacks Injure Dozens — New York Times
- Saudi Arabia Vows Retaliation After Houthi Attacks Injure Dozens — New York Times
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.