The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Saturday, September 5, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 60 pts to 69%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Wildwood · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Raquel Lyra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Cam Schlittler · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
25 bps increase · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Alexandru Nazare · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Pete Crow-Armstrong · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 39%
Sports · Match Winner 55%
Sports · Match Winner 57%
Sports · Liverpool FC 64%
Sports · Real Madrid CF 70%
Sports · Benjamin Bonzi 57%
Sports · Amanda Serrano 94%
Sports · Arthur Fery 60%
Sports · Andy Ruiz Jr. 69%
Sports · Vito Mielnicki Jr. 51%
Market snapshots
Carlos Alcaraz · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Dr. Furlan · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles C · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
CDU · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Morgan Wallen · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Alcaraz, Sabalenka into US Open last 16 as Williams sisters lose on return — Al Jazeera
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 5 at 4:15AM CDT until September 5 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO — National Weather Service
- Extreme Heat Warning issued September 5 at 4:15AM CDT until September 8 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO — National Weather Service
- Reform promises to increase tax-free personal allowance to £15,000 — BBC
- Authors Wrangle With Publishers Over $1.5 Billion Anthropic A.I. Settlement — New York Times
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 5 at 6:06AM EDT until September 5 at 6:30AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued September 5 at 5:00AM EDT until September 5 at 5:45AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY — National Weather Service
- California Forever’s Ambitious Plan Faces Another Setback — New York Times
- Following Stolen Cars From Canada to Russia — New York Times
- US diesel prices hit an all-time-high — BBC
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:21AM CDT until September 3 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 3 at 4:05AM CDT until September 3 at 6:15AM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.