The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Joseph Kibler · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Dan Green · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Fishback 10–15% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Brandon Nakashima 70%
Sports · Rafael Jodar 58%
Sports · Match Winner 13%
Sports · Ben Shelton 58%
Sports · Iga Swiatek 74%
Sports · Match Winner 34%
Sports · Fenerbahçe SK 48%
Sports · AEK 43%
Sports · Chicago 55%
Sports · Atlanta 54%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Sabalenka cruises through as Medvedev falls to Nakashima at Cincinnati Open — Al Jazeera
- World’s largest olive oil company pops over 15% as rivals circle in takeover battle — CNBC
- Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate – US politics live — The Guardian
- Chinese robotic company’s stock soars over 600% in trading debut — MarketWatch
- Kyiv’s Dormition Cathedral is Revived after Russian Drone Strike — New York Times
- American Hiker Dies After Lightning Strike on Mount Etna in Italy — New York Times
- What's happening to UK interest rates and what does it mean for mortgages? — BBC
- Iran reportedly weighs attacks on U.S. targets in Europe as UAE severs trade with Tehran — CNBC
- Extreme Heat Warning issued August 19 at 3:12AM CDT until August 19 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Jackson MS — National Weather Service
- Manav Suthar takes 10-wicket haul as India beat Sri Lanka in 600th Test — Al Jazeera
- The Left Notches Another Win With This Secret Weapon: Old-Fashioned Organizing — New York Times
- Usher’s art-packed Atlanta mansion also has a hookah lounge and a barbershop — MarketWatch
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.