The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
August 17 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
France · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Ben Shelton 54%
Sports · Tallon Griekspoor 55%
Sports · Learner Tien 67%
Sports · Hubert Hurkacz 63%
Sports · Match Winner 56%
Sports · Buffalo 61%
Sports · Cleveland 61%
Sports · Minnesota 55%
Sports · New York 79%
Sports · RC Deportivo A Coruña 43%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Usher’s art-packed Atlanta mansion also has a hookah lounge and a barbershop — MarketWatch
- ‘We are hurt’: Our son and daughter-in-law cut off contact with us over politics. Should we change our $3 million will? — MarketWatch
- Chinese company unveils new ‘Superman’ humanoid robot — Al Jazeera
- Florida Primary Underscores State’s New Identity as a Republican Juggernaut — New York Times
- Trump put to the test with Mills in Florida primary fight — The Hill
- What to Watch in Tuesday’s Primary Elections in Alaska, Florida and Beyond — New York Times
- Flood Warning issued August 18 at 6:14AM EDT until August 20 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued August 18 at 6:14AM EDT until August 20 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Disabled people in England to get 24-hour free bus travel – UK politics live — The Guardian
- Drone video shows drought-hit fields in England after driest July on record — Al Jazeera
- England’s children’s commissioner says Prevent failing to help young people ‘fixated with violence’ — The Guardian
- Russia warns UK will pay for supplying drones to Ukraine — BBC
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.