The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, August 20, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Fishback 10–15% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Match Winner · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
The Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet email updates are currently off
We are not collecting marketing-email signups right now. In the meantime, browse the latest Signal Sheet.
On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 39%
Sports · Match Winner 91%
Sports · Match Winner 75%
Sports · Ben Shelton 75%
Sports · Zizou Bergs 59%
Sports · Tampa Bay 58%
Sports · Match Winner 50%
Sports · Match Winner 46%
Sports · Atlanta 54%
Sports · Boston 53%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Without action wildfires in Europe will increase 39% even in best-case climate scenario, study finds — The Guardian
- Alibaba shares fall 4% as AI spending drives 75% drop in net income — CNBC
- Are Hormuz ships more willing to defy Iran or the US? What the data shows — Al Jazeera
- State-backed Israeli settler violence forces West Bank displacement: HRW — Al Jazeera
- GCSE results: hundreds of thousands of pupils across England, Wales and Northern Ireland receive grades – latest updates — The Guardian
- The Memo: Angie Nixon’s shock Florida win gives fresh boost — and a new test — for the left — The Hill
- North Korean Official Dismisses Reduced Drills Between US and South Korea — New York Times
- Russia launches ‘massive attack’ on Kyiv and surrounding region – Europe live — The Guardian
- Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate – US politics live — The Guardian
- Sabalenka cruises through as Medvedev falls to Nakashima at Cincinnati Open — Al Jazeera
- Kyiv’s Dormition Cathedral is Revived after Russian Drone Strike — New York Times
- American Hiker Dies After Lightning Strike on Mount Etna in Italy — New York Times
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.