The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, August 20, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Fishback 10–15% · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Match Winner · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
Join the Signal Sheet email list
Join the W.E.T. email list for new Signal Sheet issues and desk updates. Every issue is also published on site.
Double opt-in · unsubscribe anytime. No spam.
On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 39%
Sports · Match Winner 91%
Sports · Match Winner 75%
Sports · Ben Shelton 75%
Sports · Zizou Bergs 59%
Sports · Tampa Bay 58%
Sports · Match Winner 50%
Sports · Match Winner 46%
Sports · Atlanta 54%
Sports · Boston 53%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Without action wildfires in Europe will increase 39% even in best-case climate scenario, study finds — The Guardian
- Alibaba shares fall 4% as AI spending drives 75% drop in net income — CNBC
- Are Hormuz ships more willing to defy Iran or the US? What the data shows — Al Jazeera
- State-backed Israeli settler violence forces West Bank displacement: HRW — Al Jazeera
- GCSE results: hundreds of thousands of pupils across England, Wales and Northern Ireland receive grades – latest updates — The Guardian
- The Memo: Angie Nixon’s shock Florida win gives fresh boost — and a new test — for the left — The Hill
- North Korean Official Dismisses Reduced Drills Between US and South Korea — New York Times
- Russia launches ‘massive attack’ on Kyiv and surrounding region – Europe live — The Guardian
- Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate – US politics live — The Guardian
- Sabalenka cruises through as Medvedev falls to Nakashima at Cincinnati Open — Al Jazeera
- Kyiv’s Dormition Cathedral is Revived after Russian Drone Strike — New York Times
- American Hiker Dies After Lightning Strike on Mount Etna in Italy — New York Times
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.