The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
El-Sayed <5% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Süper Lig · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
France · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 82%
Sports · Minnesota 67%
Sports · Los Angeles 51%
Sports · Seattle 61%
Sports · Philadelphia 57%
Sports · Alexander Bublik 68%
Sports · Naomi Osaka 75%
Sports · Match Winner 44%
Sports · Anna Kalinskaya 72%
Sports · Lorenzo Musetti 71%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
United Russia (ER) · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Elon Musk addresses memory-chip stock concerns with one simple observation — MarketWatch
- Max Miller allegations force Trump, GOP into thorny spot — The Hill
- Trump says Hormuz deal could be agreed Wednesday or Thursday as he hails ‘very good’ Iran talks — CNBC
- Proof of Play to shut down after blockchain gaming thesis falls short — Cointelegraph
- Michigan Senate Democratic primary race remains too close to call as El-Sayed holds narrow lead – US politics live — The Guardian
- Michigan, Missouri, Washington primary elections: Key takeaways — Al Jazeera
- Mexico’s top university orders 58,000 students to resit entrance exam after suspected cheating — The Guardian
- Trump hails progress but warned Iran of ‘hard hit’ if no deal reached — Al Jazeera
- U.S. Treasury yields fall as traders monitor possible Iran war deal — CNBC
- Anthropic AI created fake profiles and impersonated people in attempted hack — BBC
- OpenAI and Anthropic models ‘went rogue’ during UK cybersecurity test — The Guardian
- Finland Tries to Protect Children Against Deepfakes, With Russia in Mind — New York Times
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.