The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Sunday, August 2, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Elon Musk down 96 pts to 3%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Elon Musk · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
512m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↓ 60,000 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
880-919 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↓ 70 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ $800 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Tucker Carlson · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
>280m · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Anna Bondar 64%
Sports · Barbora Krejcikova 85%
Sports · Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz 55%
Sports · BetBoom Team 94%
Sports · Match Winner 35%
Sports · Match Winner 51%
Sports · Match Winner 12%
Sports · Match Winner 28%
Sports · Luciano Darderi 64%
Sports · David Papot 51%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↓ 60,000 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ $90 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Five Big Moments in Michigan’s Democratic Senate Primary — New York Times
- Iran war live: Trump cancels attack, calls for a ‘rapid’ deal on Hormuz — Al Jazeera
- Tarik Skubal acquired by LA Dodgers at the MLB trade deadline — Al Jazeera
- Sources: Dodgers win Skubal race, add Tigers ace — ESPN
- July set to be driest on record for England and Wales after relentless heatwaves — The Guardian
- England beaten by Australia to netball bronze — BBC
- ‘We cannot magic up more water’: the supply problems putting housing targets in England at risk — The Guardian
- ‘This is where democracy beats totalitarianism’: Ukraine’s drone strike force takes the fight to Russia — The Guardian
- Trump cancels planned attack on Iran, saying he reached an agreement over the 'perimeters of a deal' — CNBC
- Trump Says He Canceled Strikes on Iran, Claiming Progress on Outlines of a Deal — New York Times
- Why has Trump halted Iran attacks, and what is the deal he is hinting at? — Al Jazeera
- Yemen’s Houthis deny plan to charge ships transiting Red Sea — Al Jazeera
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.