The Daily Signal Sheet

Signal Sheet — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Today: 8 markets moved — ↑ $90 down 98 pts to 1%, 10 events resolve this week.

Biggest odds moves

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026? — Odds

↑ $90 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

▼ 98 pts

Who will Trump meet with in July 2026? — Odds

Elon Musk · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

3%

▼ 96 pts

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by July 31?

512m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

▼ 93 pts

What price will Bitcoin hit in July 2026? — Odds

↓ 60,000 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

▼ 91 pts

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026? — Odds & Probability

880-919 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

99%

▲ 79 pts

What price will Solana hit in July 2026? — Odds

↓ 70 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

4%

▼ 73 pts

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026? — Odds

↑ $800 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

▼ 72 pts

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

▼ 63 pts

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On the calendar this week

Rublev vs Van Assche: Prediction, Odds & Probability

Sports · Andrey Rublev 85%

Fri, Jul 31, 12:30 PM UTC

Salkova vs Krejcikova: Prediction, Odds & Probability

Sports · Barbora Krejcikova 88%

Fri, Jul 31, 1:30 PM UTC

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of

Sports · Match Winner 20%

Fri, Jul 31, 3:35 PM UTC

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4

Sports · Match Winner 77%

Fri, Jul 31, 4:00 PM UTC

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP

Sports · Match Winner 99%

Fri, Jul 31, 5:10 PM UTC

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty

Sports · Match Winner 99%

Fri, Jul 31, 6:30 PM UTC

Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: Odds

Sports · FC Barcelona 63%

Fri, Jul 31, 6:45 PM UTC

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA

Sports · Match Winner 27%

Fri, Jul 31, 9:00 PM UTC

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid: Odds

Sports · Draw 62%

Fri, Jul 31, 10:00 PM UTC

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty

Sports · Match Winner 67%

Fri, Jul 31, 10:10 PM UTC

Market snapshots

Brazil Presidential Election — Odds & Probability

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

65%

NBA: LeBron James Next Team — Odds & Probability

Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

99%

California Governor Election Winner — Odds & Probability

Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

93%

MLB World Series Champion 2026 — Odds & Probability

Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

33%

What price will Bitcoin hit in July 2026? — Odds

↓ 60,000 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

1%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability

Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

53%

What will happen before GTA VI? — Odds & Probability

Another Pandemic · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

51%

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Odds & Probability

Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗

10%

On the wire

Yemen’s Houthis deny plan to charge ships transiting Red Sea — Al Jazeera
England beaten by New Zealand in netball semi-final — BBC
DoJ appears to ignore New Mexico deadline for key Epstein ranch files — The Guardian
Did 75,000 Students Cheat on a College-Entrance Exam in Mexico? — New York Times
Russia Strikes Ukraine With Missiles and Drones, Killing at Least 8 — New York Times
Russia expands crypto mining ban to Moscow through 2032 — Cointelegraph
The U.S. Deported Him to Jail in Russia. Then He Escaped. — New York Times
Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft added nearly $1.5 trillion in combined value this week — CNBC
Federal government proposes Colorado River water use cuts for California, Arizona and Nevada — The Hill
Iran strikes tankers under US escort in Hormuz strait as Trump gathers cabinet to discuss war — The Guardian
Inside Barcelona’s most sweltering neighbourhood: El Raval — Al Jazeera
Adam O’Neal Resigns as Washington Post Opinion Editor — New York Times

Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.