The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Friday, July 31, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Elon Musk down 96 pts to 3%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Elon Musk · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
512m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↓ 62,500 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Before Jun 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
60+ · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↑ $85 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Alexander Bublik 62%
Sports · Matteo Arnaldi 67%
Sports · Alina Korneeva 50%
Sports · Draw 38%
Sports · Match Winner 20%
Sports · Match Winner 37%
Sports · Seattle 56%
Sports · Match Winner 24%
Sports · Washington 70%
Sports · Cincinnati 60%
Market snapshots
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↓ 62,500 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Another Pandemic · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Iran Says It Targeted U.S. Military in Kuwait With Drones — New York Times
- Iran targets strategic U.S. assets in Kuwait, Bahrain after Egypt drone attack — CNBC
- IRGC strikes US targets in Kuwait a day after US hits Iran: Latest events — Al Jazeera
- Israeli forces blow up structures near Lebanon’s Beaufort Castle — Al Jazeera
- Selling Burritos Back to Mexico: Chipotle’s Bold Expansion — New York Times
- Mexico’s President Unveils Plan to Fight Seaweed That Is Choking Beaches — New York Times
- Open Model Wars + Claire Stapleton’s Dishy Google Memoir + Substack’s Slop Fight — New York Times
- Glasgow gets starring role in Spider-Man: Brand New Day film — BBC
- Anthropic's Claude AI escapes to hack into three organisations — BBC
- Anthropic Says Its A.I. Systems Broke Into Computers at 3 Organizations — New York Times
- How US Senate Russia sanctions could spell 100% tariffs for India, China — Al Jazeera
- Activists climb rare Arizona cottonwood to shield it from Trump border wall construction — The Hill
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.