The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, July 30, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Elon Musk down 96 pts to 3%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Elon Musk · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Before Jun 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↓ $80 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Weijia Jiang · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
August 15 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
France · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Alex Molcan 58%
Sports · Nuno Borges 70%
Sports · Qinwen Zheng 93%
Sports · Match Winner 52%
Sports · Chicago 57%
Sports · Tampa Bay 57%
Sports · Match Winner 85%
Sports · Minnesota 86%
Sports · Arizona 53%
Sports · Atlanta 51%
Market snapshots
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ 65,000 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- USDA to fund Arizona facility to fight New World screwworm — The Hill
- Generation Z wants significant change in government — The Hill
- How Climate Change and Tariffs Help China Raise More Cattle — New York Times
- Liquid could be answer to stop cavities without drilling, study finds — The Hill
- US military launches strikes on Iran in retaliation for attacks on US base in Jordan — The Hill
- El-Sayed leads Stevens by 15 points in Michigan Senate primary: Poll — The Hill
- How Haley Stevens’s Accent Became a Flashpoint in Michigan’s Senate Race — New York Times
- From Toronto to Damascus: Syrians return home aiming to rebuild country — Al Jazeera
- Interest rates held at 3.75% by Bank of England — BBC
- England on track for record heat-related deaths this summer, official data shows — The Guardian
- Joe Root returns as England Test cricket captain with Stephen Fleming named head coach — BBC
- Florida AG launching investigation into Fauci after Senate hearing — The Hill
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.