The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Elon Musk down 96 pts to 3%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Elon Musk · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Before Jun 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Washington · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Connecticut · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ $85 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Weijia Jiang · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Daniel Merida 69%
Sports · Match Winner 72%
Sports · Connecticut 88%
Sports · Match Winner 20%
Sports · Match Winner 29%
Sports · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 81%
Sports · Match Winner 51%
Sports · San Francisco 55%
Sports · Match Winner 63%
Sports · New York Y 52%
Market snapshots
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
New Rihanna Album · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Yulia Navalnaya · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Iran and Oman swap proposals to manage Strait of Hormuz: What we know — Al Jazeera
- The Cuban Throwing Parties to Fight for Political Change — New York Times
- Elon Musk's xAI sues Minnesota over law to ban 'nudify' apps — CNBC
- South Dakota governor fends off challenger in primary runoff — The Hill
- Ukraine has found a new pressure point in Russia’s wartime economy — CNBC
- Senate sets up votes to sanction Russia for Ukraine war — CNBC
- Tether signs tokenization deal with Nairobi Securities Exchange — Cointelegraph
- Iran missiles target US forces in Jordan after a five-day pause in war — Al Jazeera
- Russia Charges Telegram’s Founder Pavel Durov With Facilitating Terrorism — New York Times
- Russia charges Telegram founder Durov with facilitating terrorism — BBC
- Zelensky and Trump Meet at the White House. Has Their Relationship Thawed? — New York Times
- Zelensky and Netanyahu meet Trump as wars in Ukraine and Iran drag on — BBC
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.