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Topic
The most-traded Bitcoin market right now: "What price will Bitcoin hit in July 2026? — Odds" — a 80% implied probability of ↓ 65,000 on Polymarket, as of July 22, 2026.
Bitcoin price markets are effectively live options on where BTC trades at expiry — threshold and range markets that reprice with every macro shock and ETF flow.
1
Live markets
$16.8M
Tracked volume
2
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
ARCHIVE
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
FAQ
The most-traded live Bitcoin market is "What price will Bitcoin hit in July 2026? — Odds", where the market implies a 80% chance of ↓ 65,000 on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 1 live Bitcoin market in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.