Topic
OpenAI Prediction Markets
The latest open-status OpenAI snapshot: "OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — Odds & Probability" — a captured 96% implied probability for No IPO by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket; corpus through November 2, 2026.
OpenAI model-release, milestone, and corporate-event contracts, shown as dated observations with their attributed venue.
5
Open snapshots
$8.1M
Comparable USD vol.
1
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status OpenAI snapshotscorpus through November 2, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — Odds & Probability
No IPO by December 31, 2026 · Polymarket · $2.6M vol
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2028 · Kalshi · 62.5K contracts vol
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? — Odds
↑$1.25T · Polymarket · $1.3M vol
OpenAI IPO by...? — Odds & Probability
June 30, 2027 · Polymarket · $3M vol
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? — Odds
↑$1.0T · Polymarket · $1.2M vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the OpenAI board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled OpenAI markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest OpenAI market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — Odds & Probability", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 96% implied probability for No IPO by December 31, 2026. Across the corpus through November 2, 2026, W.E.T. records 5 open-status OpenAI market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s OpenAI snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through November 2, 2026 are attributed to Kalshi and Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.