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The most-traded OpenAI market right now: "OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — Odds & Probability" — a 88% implied probability of October 31 on Polymarket, as of August 10, 2026.
Model releases, milestones, and corporate moves — the AI race’s frontrunner, priced live.
1
Live markets
$139.6K
Tracked volume
0
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
FAQ
The most-traded live OpenAI market is "OpenAI’s Astra released by…? — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 88% chance of October 31 on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 1 live OpenAI market in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.