Topic
AI Models & AGI Prediction Markets
The latest open-status AI Models & AGI snapshot: "Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Odds" — a captured 62% implied probability for Anthropic on Polymarket; corpus through September 5, 2026.
Which lab has the best model, when AGI arrives, benchmark crowns — the AI race as a probability curve.
7
Open snapshots
$3.9M
Comparable USD vol.
7
Settled archives
OPEN · SNAPSHOT
Open-status AI Models & AGI snapshotscorpus through September 5, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Odds
Anthropic · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Which company has the best AI model end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $2M vol
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $124.9K vol
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model
Anthropic · Polymarket · $68.1K vol
When will any company achieve AGI? — Odds & Probability
Before Jan 1, 2031 · Kalshi · 83.3K contracts vol
Which company has the best AI model end of September
Anthropic · Polymarket · $609.8K vol
Which company has the best AI model end of October 2026?
Anthropic · Polymarket · $50.2K vol
Priced into these indexes
W.E.T. indexes that hold markets from the AI Models & AGI board. The count is how many of this page’s contracts each one actually reads — the index is the story, these markets are its evidence.
ARCHIVE
Settled AI Models & AGI markets
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Best AI model on August 31? — Odds & Probability
Final read: claude-opus-5-max · Polymarket · $53.1K vol
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August 2026?
Final read: Anthropic · Polymarket · $100.1K vol
Second-best AI Lab end of August 2026? — Odds
Final read: Google · Polymarket · $154.3K vol
Which company has best AI model end of August 2026?
Final read: Anthropic · Polymarket · $2.9M vol
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end
Which company has best AI model end of July 2026? — Odds
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
What does the latest AI Models & AGI market snapshot record?
The latest open-status snapshot is "Which company has best AI model end of 2026? — Odds", where one attributed Polymarket listing records a 62% implied probability for Anthropic. Across the corpus through September 5, 2026, W.E.T. records 7 open-status AI Models & AGI market pages.
Which venues appear in W.E.T.'s AI Models & AGI snapshots?
The open-status snapshots through September 5, 2026 are attributed to Kalshi and Polymarket. Each quote keeps its own rules and provenance; a numerical comparison is withheld until exact same-outcome identity is confirmed.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes or a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. These implied probabilities are dated market-price observations, not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.