Fight Night: Harris vs Hines: Prediction, Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated July 21, 2026
Final prediction market odds for Fight Night: Harris vs Hines: Alvin Hines closed at 52% implied probability on one venue listing. Settled-market archive…
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Fight Night
12 categories priced
Still contested
11
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Melisano vs Barbosa: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Melisano vs Barbosa: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano84%
- Dione Barbosa84%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds57%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds45%
- Fight to Go the Distance?39%
- Anna Melisano17%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Coria vs Nicoll: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Alden Coria89%
- Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll88%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Coria to win by KO/TKO?44%
- Fight won by submission?33%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Hooper vs Ramirez: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez78%
- Chase Hooper76%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds70%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds56%
- Fight won by submission?40%
- Mitch Ramirez25%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Cannonier vs Duncan: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- Christian Duncan78%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds61%
- Fight to Go the Distance?51%
- Duncan to win by KO/TKO?40%
- Jared Cannonier24%
+3 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Elliott vs Anderson: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds64%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds59%
- Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott56%
- Damien Anderson53%
- Ezra Elliott47%
- Fight to Go the Distance?36%
+5 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Ricci vs Kline: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Fatima Kline81%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds77%
- Tabatha Ricci21%
- Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline20%
- Kline to win by KO/TKO?14%
+5 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McMillen vs Montes: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Tommy McMillen61%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds55%
- Alberto Montes41%
- Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen40%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?37%
- McMillen to win by KO/TKO?32%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Rodrigues Jr vs Franco: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds65%
- Levi Rodrigues Jr58%
- Rodrigues Jr. to win by KO/TKO?49%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds49%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
- Felipe Franco43%
+7 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Harris vs Hines: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris52%
- Alvin Hines52%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?52%
- RJ Harris50%
- Hines to win by KO/TKO?33%
+9 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Lebosnoyani vs Ko: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Seok Hyun Ko64%
- Fight to Go the Distance?54%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko39%
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani38%
- Ko to win by KO/TKO?25%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?24%
+10 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Du Plessis vs Usman: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
- Dricus Du Plessis67%
- Fight to Go the Distance?52%
- Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis35%
- Kamaru Usman33%
- Du Plessis to win by KO/TKO?32%
+11 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Bashi vs Delgado: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado53%
- Austin Bashi53%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
- Jose Delgado48%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?48%
+28 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled July 21, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris Moneyline | Polymarket | 52% | $16.1K |
Harris to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 23% | $378 |
Hines to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 33% | $181 |
RJ Harris | Kalshi | 50% | 68.5K contracts |
Alvin Hines | Kalshi | 52% | 17.3K contracts |
O/U 1.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 61% | $452 |
Fight won by KO/TKO? | Polymarket | 52% | $401 |
Fight won by submission? | Polymarket | 21% | $43 |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 20/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 0/30 | No positive venue-reported volume was available at snapshot time. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 0/15 | 0 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
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Everything above stays free — the score, the component breakdown, any eligible confirmed comparison, and the methodology. W.E.T. Premium doesn't unlock a hidden number; it adds the tooling that turns a reading into a workflow: the Crowd–Market Gap Tracker, dated Index Desk reads and drivers, and the Community crowd–market gap value and direction.
Key takeaways
- Final market read: Alvin Hines at 52% implied probability on one venue listing.
- The odds moved from 58% at the start of coverage to 52% at close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 52% implied probability for Alvin Hines on one venue listing.
The market's final read
The market never fully made up its mind: Alvin Hines closed at just 52%. Dollar volume and contract counts remain separate; W.E.T. publishes no mixed event total.
How the odds moved
W.E.T. tracked this market for 4 days: Alvin Hines opened our coverage at 58%, ranged between 52% and 58%, and closed at 52%. Implied probability is the market's price read as a percentage — a live, venue-attributed estimate that repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Fight Night: Harris vs Hines?
The market closed with Alvin Hines at 52% implied probability on one venue listing. That was the final venue-attributed read before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Fight Night: Harris vs Hines right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 52% for Alvin Hines. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
Markets & sources
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