Fight Night: Benouaich vs Montenegro: Odds
By Corbin V King · Updated September 8, 2026
This market has settled. Its final read (September 8, 2026) was a 56% implied probability for Delphine Benouaich on Kalshi.
Final implied probability
Market favorite
Delphine Benouaich — market favorite
Kalshi
56%
Implied
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Fight Night
13 categories priced
Still contested
7
inside 15 points
Tightest
+2
Pinto vs Spann: Odds
Pinto vs Spann: Oddssettled
Contested- Mario Pinto77%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds75%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?58%
- Pinto to win by KO/TKO?54%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds46%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds28%
+2 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Hooker vs Parnasse: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- Salahdine Parnasse81%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?58%
- Parnasse to win by KO/TKO?55%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds44%
+4 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Campbell vs Peek: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds84%
- Kurtis Campbell78%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds62%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds43%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?37%
- Campbell to win by KO/TKO?25%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Keita vs Naimov: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- Losene Keita78%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?54%
- Keita to win by KO/TKO?51%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
+7 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Benouaich vs Montenegro: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds68%
- Fight to Go the Distance?65%
- Delphine Benouaich56%
- Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich45%
+13 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Ziam vs Sola: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds79%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds66%
- Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola60%
- Fares Ziam60%
- Fight to Go the Distance?60%
+13 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Cornolle vs Sygula: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds66%
- Fight to Go the Distance?63%
- Klaudia Sygula52%
- Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula49%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Donchenko vs Soriano: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds84%
- Daniil Donchenko69%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Donchenko to win by KO/TKO?46%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds42%
+15 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wood vs Andrusca: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds90%
- Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca73%
- Nathaniel Wood73%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds73%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds60%
- Fight won by decision?54%
+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Duclos vs Dias: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?59%
- Matthieu Letho Duclos52%
- Luis Felipe Dias vs. Matthieu Letho Duclos49%
- Luis Felipe Dias49%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds47%
+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Page vs Ruziboev: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds75%
- Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev65%
- Michael Page65%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds60%
- Fight to Go the Distance?56%
+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Sy vs Bukauskas: Odds
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
- Oumar Sy69%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds59%
- Fight to Go the Distance?54%
- Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy32%
+20 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Aljarouj vs Sintes: Oddssettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds67%
- Michael Aljarouj vs. Fabia Sintes55%
- Michael Aljarouj55%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds52%
- Fabia Sintes46%
+21 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled September 8, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich Moneyline | Polymarket | 45% | $19.9K |
Montenegro to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 13% | $13 |
Benouaich to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 11% | — |
O/U 0.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 91% | $1 |
O/U 1.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 78% | — |
O/U 2.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 68% | $61 |
Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 65% | $888 |
Delphine Benouaich | Kalshi | 56% | 18.2K contracts |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 36/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 10/30 | The event combines unlike venue-native volume units. W.E.T. does not add contracts to dollars, so this component remains at the documented neutral 10/30. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 6/15 | 4 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Read it here. Act on it with the desk.
Everything above stays free — the score, the component breakdown, any eligible confirmed comparison, and the methodology. W.E.T. Premium doesn't unlock a hidden number; it adds the tooling that turns a reading into a workflow: the Crowd–Market Gap Tracker, dated Index Desk reads and drivers, and the Community crowd–market gap value and direction.
Key takeaways
- Final market read: Delphine Benouaich at 56% implied probability on Kalshi.
- The odds moved from 58% at the start of coverage to 56% at close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 56% implied probability for Delphine Benouaich on Kalshi.
The market's final read
The market never fully made up its mind: Delphine Benouaich closed at just 56%. Dollar volume and contract counts remain separate; no mixed total is published.
How the odds moved
W.E.T. tracked this market for 4 days: Delphine Benouaich opened our coverage at 58%, ranged between 56% and 58%, and closed at 56%. Implied probability is the attributed venue listing's price read as a percentage. It repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Fight Night: Benouaich vs Montenegro: Odds?
The market closed with Delphine Benouaich at 56% implied probability on Kalshi. That was W.E.T.'s final attributed listing observation before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Fight Night: Benouaich vs Montenegro: Odds right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 56% for Delphine Benouaich. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
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