332: Wint vs Armand: Prediction, Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated September 30, 2026
Live score desk
Live scores appear here when an exact game match is available.
As of September 30, 2026, the prediction market implies a 82% chance of Anthony Wint on Kalshi.
Implied probability snapshot
Market favorite
Anthony Wint — market favorite
Kalshi
82%
Implied
Venue listing
View the live market on Kalshi
This W.E.T. observation is dated. Open Kalshi to verify later availability and price changes.
Driving coverage
Open the Newsroom →The slate at this observation
Ceremony
332
13 categories priced
Still contested
12
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
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Contested- Alexander Hernandez72%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds72%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds62%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds54%
- Fight to Go the Distance?48%
- Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?37%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Silva vs Cong: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds81%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds81%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds78%
- O/U 3.5 Rounds77%
- Fight to Go the Distance?75%
- Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong66%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGee vs Nolan: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds72%
- Eric Nolan71%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?45%
- Nolan to win by KO/TKO?41%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Smith vs Whitehead: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- Jacobe Smith89%
- Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead88%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds60%
- Smith to win by KO/TKO?50%
- Whitehead to win by KO/TKO?50%
- Decision or Draw50%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Williams vs Soldic: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- Roberto Soldic73%
- Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams72%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds68%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?67%
- Ends before Round 3?62%
- Soldic to win by KO/TKO?52%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wint vs Armand: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- Anthony Wint82%
- Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand81%
- Armand to win by KO/TKO?50%
- Wint to win by KO/TKO?50%
- Armand in Round 150%
- Armand in Round 250%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Gautier vs Kopylov: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds73%
- Ateba Gautier67%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Ends before Round 3?50%
- Gautier to win by KO/TKO?41%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Vettori vs Naurdiev: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
- Fight to Go the Distance?62%
- Decision or Draw61%
- Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev45%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGhee vs Sopaj: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
- Decision or Draw58%
- Fight to Go the Distance?58%
- Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj56%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Green vs Ribovics: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- Esteban Ribovics68%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
- Ends before Round 3?48%
- Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?40%
+8 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Walker vs Parkin: Prediction, Odds & Probability
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- O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
- Johnny Walker57%
- Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin55%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds47%
- Ends before Round 3?46%
+11 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Figueiredo vs Talbott: Odds
Contested- Payton Talbott83%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds72%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds53%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?45%
- Talbott to win by KO/TKO?40%
+11 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Pinas vs Pulyaev: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Clear favourite- Damian Pinas82%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds67%
- Ends before Round 3?63%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?62%
- Pinas to win by KO/TKO?56%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds47%
+15 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Odds — dated market snapshotas of September 30, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand Moneyline | Polymarket | 81% | $3K |
Armand to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Wint to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Anthony Wint | Kalshi | 82% | 10.9K contracts |
Armand in Round 1 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Armand in Round 2 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Armand in Round 3 | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Decision or Draw | Polymarket | 50% | — |
Implied probability = the venue’s YES price read as a percentage at capture. This is a dated observation; use the attributed venue link, when available, to verify later changes.
Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the September 30, 2026 snapshot · 32/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 10/30 | The event combines unlike venue-native volume units. W.E.T. does not add contracts to dollars, so this component remains at the documented neutral 10/30. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- One tracked Kalshi listing prices Anthony Wint at 82% implied probability.
- Venue volume remains separate because this event combines dollar volume and contract counts.
- This is implied probability from venue prices observed as of Wednesday, September 30 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
Prediction markets make Anthony Wint the favorite in 332: Wint vs Armand, pricing the outcome at 82% implied probability on Kalshi as of Wednesday, September 30. Related venue listings are shown separately; W.E.T. has not confirmed them as the same outcome for a numerical comparison. Here is the dated market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 21 tracked market rows, Venue volume remains separate because this event combines dollar volume and contract counts. Anthony Wint leads at 82%, a strong favorite, ahead of Decision or Draw at 50%. Related venue listings remain separate until the canonical graph confirms outcome and settlement-basis equivalence.
How sports markets like this settle
Sports markets resolve on the game itself — a final result, a score line, a player total. The implied probability is what traders are collectively paying for each outcome, repriced live as lineups, injuries, and in-game events land.
What could move it
Team news and injuries, roster and lineup changes, weather for outdoor games, and the way the line drifts from open to close as sharp money arrives are what move these prices. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 82% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 82¢ implies a 82% chance the market resolves YES: a dated venue observation of implied probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Wednesday, September 30; odds move continuously, so open Kalshi for the current line.
Track this and every Sports market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Sports odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 332: Wint vs Armand?
As of Wednesday, September 30, Kalshi price Anthony Wint at 82% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of Anthony Wint?
The prediction market implies a 82% chance of Anthony Wint on Kalshi as of Wednesday, September 30 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
Both venues carry related listings. W.E.T. publishes them separately until canonical identity and settlement-basis checks confirm that a numerical comparison is valid.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are dated venue observations shown as implied probability — a record of what traders were collectively paying at the stated time, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/332-wint-vs-armand-odds-2026-10-04?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=332-wint-vs-armand-odds-2026-10-04">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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