332: Silva vs Cong: Prediction, Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated October 3, 2026
332: Silva vs Cong prediction market odds: Decision or Draw favored at 66% implied probability on Polymarket. Venue-attributed odds, volume, and event…
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
332
13 categories priced
Still contested
10
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Smith vs Whitehead: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Smith vs Whitehead: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead89%
- Jacobe Smith89%
- Ends before Round 3?81%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?69%
- Smith to win by KO/TKO?66%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds64%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wint vs Armand: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Anthony Wint82%
- Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand81%
- Ends before Round 3?74%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds66%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Ends before Round 2?56%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Figueiredo vs Talbott: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
- Payton Talbott85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds70%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?48%
- Talbott to win by KO/TKO?43%
+3 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Silva vs Cong: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds94%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds89%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds83%
- O/U 3.5 Rounds77%
- O/U 4.5 Rounds71%
- Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong65%
+5 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Pinas vs Pulyaev: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Damian Pinas82%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- Ends before Round 3?65%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?63%
- Pinas to win by KO/TKO?60%
- Ends before Round 2?44%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGhee vs Sopaj: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
- Decision or Draw58%
- Fight to Go the Distance?58%
- Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj56%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Williams vs Soldic: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds80%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?68%
- Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams67%
- Roberto Soldic66%
- Ends before Round 3?64%
- Soldic to win by KO/TKO?55%
+12 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Anjos vs Hernandez: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Alexander Hernandez72%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds56%
- Decision or Draw50%
- Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?42%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Gautier vs Kopylov: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds83%
- Ateba Gautier69%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Ends before Round 3?53%
- Gautier to win by KO/TKO?48%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Vettori vs Naurdiev: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds77%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds69%
- Decision or Draw63%
- Fight to Go the Distance?62%
- Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev45%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGee vs Nolan: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- Eric Nolan68%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds52%
- Fight to Go the Distance?44%
- Nolan to win by KO/TKO?41%
+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Green vs Ribovics: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Esteban Ribovics65%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds65%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?53%
- Ends before Round 3?48%
- Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?42%
+21 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Walker vs Parkin: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin51%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
- Johnny Walker51%
- Michael Parkin50%
+22 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Odds — expired pre-event snapshotas of October 3, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong Moneyline | Polymarket | 65% | $46.2K |
Silva to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 18% | — |
Cong to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 13% | — |
O/U 0.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 94% | — |
O/U 1.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 89% | — |
O/U 2.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 83% | — |
O/U 3.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 77% | — |
O/U 4.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 71% | $45 |
Implied probability = the venue’s YES price read as a percentage at capture. The event time is now behind the corpus clock, but W.E.T. has no settlement write, so this remains an expired unresolved snapshot.
Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the October 3, 2026 snapshot · 20/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 0/30 | No positive venue-reported volume was available at snapshot time. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 0/15 | 0 attributable days tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- One tracked Polymarket listing prices Decision or Draw at 66% implied probability.
- Venue volume remains separate because this event combines dollar volume and contract counts.
- This is implied probability from venue prices observed as of Saturday, October 3 — not a tip or a forecast of the result.
Prediction markets make Decision or Draw the favorite in 332: Silva vs Cong, pricing the outcome at 66% implied probability on Polymarket as of Saturday, October 3. Related venue listings are shown separately; W.E.T. has not confirmed them as the same outcome for a numerical comparison. Here is the dated market read.
What the prediction market is pricing
Across 29 tracked market rows, Venue volume remains separate because this event combines dollar volume and contract counts. Decision or Draw leads at 66%, a clear favorite, ahead of Natalia Silva at 65%. Related venue listings remain separate until the canonical graph confirms outcome and settlement-basis equivalence.
How sports markets like this settle
Sports markets resolve on the game itself — a final result, a score line, a player total. The implied probability is what traders are collectively paying for each outcome, repriced live as lineups, injuries, and in-game events land.
What could move it
Team news and injuries, roster and lineup changes, weather for outdoor games, and the way the line drifts from open to close as sharp money arrives are what move these prices. Because real money is on the line, the price reprices quickly around these catalysts — which is what makes 66% a live estimate rather than a settled call.
Reading the number
A contract at 66¢ implies a 66% chance the market resolves YES: a dated venue observation of implied probability, not a forecast or a tip from W.E.T. The figure above is a snapshot as of Saturday, October 3; odds move continuously, so open Polymarket for the current line.
Track this and every Sports market on the live Event Dashboard, or browse all Sports odds & probability. For the mechanics, see the prediction markets guide.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 332: Silva vs Cong?
As of Saturday, October 3, Polymarket price Decision or Draw at 66% implied probability. Implied probability is the market's YES price read as a percentage; it moves continuously, so check the live venue for the current line.
What is the probability of Decision or Draw?
The prediction market implies a 66% chance of Decision or Draw on Polymarket as of Saturday, October 3 — that is what traders are collectively pricing, not a forecast from W.E.T.
What is the difference between the Kalshi and Polymarket odds?
This dated snapshot records Polymarket only. W.E.T. publishes no cross-venue comparison without the same event, outcome, and resolution terms observed on another venue. W.E.T. publishes them separately until canonical identity and settlement-basis checks confirm that a numerical comparison is valid.
Are these odds a prediction of the outcome?
No. These are dated venue observations shown as implied probability — a record of what traders were collectively paying at the stated time, not advice or a forecast from W.E.T. Prediction market trading involves risk of loss; always verify current prices and rules on the venue.
Markets & sources
What Is a Prediction Market? How Event Trading Works
A prediction market lets traders buy and sell contracts on real-world outcomes, with prices that read as probabilities. Here is how event trading works.
Read on the WireW.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
Explore retained event intelligence
This page is archival. Use the Event Dashboard to inspect separately dated, venue-attributed listings; numerical comparisons remain identity-gated.