332: McGhee vs Sopaj: Prediction, Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated October 6, 2026
This market has settled. Its final read (October 6, 2026) was a 58% implied probability for Decision or Draw on Polymarket.
Final implied probability
Market favorite
Decision or Draw — market favorite
Polymarket
58%
Implied
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
332
13 categories priced
Still contested
10
inside 15 points
Tightest
+0
Smith vs Whitehead: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Smith vs Whitehead: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead89%
- Jacobe Smith89%
- Ends before Round 3?81%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?69%
- Smith to win by KO/TKO?66%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds64%
+0 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Wint vs Armand: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Anthony Wint82%
- Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand81%
- Ends before Round 3?74%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds66%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Ends before Round 2?56%
+1 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Figueiredo vs Talbott: Oddssettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds88%
- Payton Talbott85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds70%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?48%
- Talbott to win by KO/TKO?43%
+3 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Silva vs Cong: Prediction, Odds & Probability
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds94%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds89%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds83%
- O/U 3.5 Rounds77%
- O/U 4.5 Rounds71%
- Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong65%
+5 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Pinas vs Pulyaev: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- Damian Pinas82%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds76%
- Ends before Round 3?65%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?63%
- Pinas to win by KO/TKO?60%
- Ends before Round 2?44%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGhee vs Sopaj: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds68%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
- Decision or Draw58%
- Fight to Go the Distance?58%
- Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj56%
+6 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Williams vs Soldic: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds80%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?68%
- Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams67%
- Roberto Soldic66%
- Ends before Round 3?64%
- Soldic to win by KO/TKO?55%
+12 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Anjos vs Hernandez: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Alexander Hernandez72%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds71%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds56%
- Decision or Draw50%
- Hernandez to win by KO/TKO?42%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Gautier vs Kopylov: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds83%
- Ateba Gautier69%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?56%
- Ends before Round 3?53%
- Gautier to win by KO/TKO?48%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Vettori vs Naurdiev: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Contested- O/U 0.5 Rounds91%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds77%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds69%
- Decision or Draw63%
- Fight to Go the Distance?62%
- Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev45%
+14 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
McGee vs Nolan: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- Eric Nolan68%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds52%
- Fight to Go the Distance?44%
- Nolan to win by KO/TKO?41%
+17 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Green vs Ribovics: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds86%
- Esteban Ribovics65%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds65%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?53%
- Ends before Round 3?48%
- Ribovics to win by KO/TKO?42%
+21 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Walker vs Parkin: Prediction, Odds & Probabilitysettled
Clear favourite- O/U 0.5 Rounds85%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds63%
- Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin51%
- Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
- Johnny Walker51%
- Michael Parkin50%
+22 pt margin · 8 nominees · 2 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled October 6, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj Moneyline | Polymarket | 56% | $6.5K |
McGhee to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 27% | — |
Sopaj to win by KO/TKO? Moneyline | Polymarket | 27% | — |
O/U 0.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 74% | — |
O/U 1.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 68% | — |
O/U 2.5 Rounds Totals | Polymarket | 64% | — |
Decision or Draw | Polymarket | 58% | — |
Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 58% | — |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 22/100 · Thin Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 0/30 | No positive venue-reported volume was available at snapshot time. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 12/15 | 8 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- Final market read: Decision or Draw at 58% implied probability on Polymarket.
- Dollar volume and contract counts were not combined into a synthetic event total.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 58% implied probability for Decision or Draw on Polymarket.
The market's final read
The market never fully made up its mind: Decision or Draw closed at just 58%. Dollar volume and contract counts remain separate; no mixed total is published.
How the odds moved
The final tracked read was 58% for Decision or Draw. Implied probability is the attributed venue listing's price read as a percentage. It repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Sports odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for 332: McGhee vs Sopaj?
The market closed with Decision or Draw at 58% implied probability on Polymarket. That was W.E.T.'s final attributed listing observation before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get 332: McGhee vs Sopaj right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 58% for Decision or Draw. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/332-mcghee-vs-sopaj-odds-2026-10-04?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=332-mcghee-vs-sopaj-odds-2026-10-04">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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