Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

As of 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC · fresh

• WET IndexWorld Uncertainty

Published WET record · not an observation row

As-of time not recorded · unknown

1. 2026Electionpresident · brazilevent identity
2. 2026-10-04 00:00 UTCPolymarket contract closesvenue close

Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row

As-of time not recorded · unknown

Settlement rules · Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral…

Full text

Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Recognized settlement source

not recognized by the committed recognizer table (a statement about the table, not the venue)

Venue listing

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