The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Monday, September 21, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Before Apr 1, 2027 down 49 pts to 24%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Julianne Moore · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Gen.G Esports · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Democratic Party · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Linke · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
↑ 85,000 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 78%
Sports · Manchester City FC 74%
Sports · Taylor Townsend 72%
Sports · Miami (FL) 92%
Sports · Texas Tech 74%
Sports · Anna Blinkova 52%
Sports · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 75%
Sports · Suzan Lamens 84%
Sports · Elina Avanesyan 57%
Sports · Lucrezia Stefanini 68%
Market snapshots
60-65m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
950 - 960m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Republican 60-65% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Tommy Tuberville (R) · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Katie Hobbs (D) · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Magda Linette · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Amish Shah (D) · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
December 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Lib Dems demand action over increase in child birth injuries — BBC
- Universal early childhood education better than baby bonus to increase Australia’s birthrate, Labor says — The Guardian
- Merz insists he will stay as German chancellor despite heavy losses in state elections – Europe live — The Guardian
- German Chancellor Merz calls state election a 'disaster' for his party but vows to stay on — BBC
- Nvidia boss says there is ‘0% chance’ AI destroys the world by 2030 — The Guardian
- Russia’s pro-Putin party set to win election as Ukraine exposes war’s growing reach into Moscow — CNBC
- Here's what the Saudi East-West pipeline shutdown means for Asia's biggest crude importers — CNBC
- Why a Law to Help Prisoners Became a New Sectarian Flashpoint in Lebanon — New York Times
- Russia election results show Putin’s party winning: What we know — Al Jazeera
- U.S.-listed Greenland stocks surge after Trump announces security deal with Denmark — CNBC
- Flash Flood Warning issued September 20 at 5:09AM CDT until September 20 at 8:00AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
- Anthropic tabs Accenture as embedded evaluator to help with AI slowdown proposal — Cointelegraph
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.