The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Sunday, September 20, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — Before Apr 1, 2027 down 49 pts to 24%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
Before Apr 1, 2027 · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Joshua Van · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Gen.G Esports · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
950 - 960m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Democratic Party · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Paul Giamatti · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Linke · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mariah Carey · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 70%
Sports · Cleveland 63%
Sports · New York Y 58%
Sports · FC Barcelona 78%
Sports · Aryna Sabalenka 58%
Sports · Los Angeles D 66%
Sports · Philadelphia 64%
Sports · Pittsburgh 79%
Sports · Floyd Mayweather Jr. 69%
Sports · Phoenix 57%
Market snapshots
55-60m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
950 - 960m · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Cleveland · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mary Peltola · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
San Francisco · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
Green Bay · Kalshi · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Flash Flood Warning issued September 20 at 5:09AM CDT until September 20 at 8:00AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
- German elections under way which could decide fate of Chancellor Merz — BBC
- Anthropic tabs Accenture as embedded evaluator to help with AI slowdown proposal — Cointelegraph
- Troy Jackson, a Progressive Brawler, Tries to Flip a Senate Seat in Maine — New York Times
- Flood Watch issued September 20 at 4:12AM CDT until September 24 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 20 at 4:08AM CDT until September 21 at 2:42AM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued September 20 at 3:37AM CDT until September 20 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI — National Weather Service
- <a href='https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-latest-russia-election-nato-poland-attacks-kyiv-donald-trump-12541713?postid=12477622#liveblog-body'>Why so many Colombians are fighting for Ukraine</a> — Sky News
- Colorado St. apologizes to BYU for derogatory chants from fans — ESPN
- Flood Warning issued September 20 at 5:57AM EDT until September 25 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 20 at 5:57AM EDT until September 24 at 12:30AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued September 20 at 4:19AM EDT until September 25 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.