The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Sunday, August 16, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↑ 1.20 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
France · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Mirra Andreeva 78%
Sports · Iva Jovic 66%
Sports · Nina Milosevic 82%
Sports · Match Winner 70%
Sports · Match Winner 59%
Sports · Match Winner 18%
Sports · Nuno Borges 61%
Sports · Match Winner 28%
Sports · Match Winner 44%
Sports · Milos Janicic 50%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Flood Watch issued August 16 at 4:51AM EDT until August 17 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 16 at 4:51AM EDT until August 16 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 16 at 4:51AM EDT until August 16 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 16 at 5:41AM EDT until August 16 at 5:45AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 16 at 5:11AM EDT until August 16 at 5:15AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 16 at 4:37AM EDT until August 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued August 16 at 4:18AM EDT until August 19 at 9:30AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- A Shooting at the U.S. Consulate in Toronto Exposes a Neighborhood’s Guns-for-Hire Network — New York Times
- Could El-Sayed Cost Democrats Michigan? — New York Times
- Five killed as Russia launches fresh aerial attacks across Ukraine — BBC
- How a False Nuclear Claim About Iran Ricocheted From India to Washington — New York Times
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 15 at 4:24AM CDT until August 15 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.