The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Saturday, August 15, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — August 25 down 84 pts to 12%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
August 25 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Farage 20-40% · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
NVIDIA · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
30°C · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 54%
Sports · Match Winner 56%
Sports · Ben Shelton 73%
Sports · Tallon Griekspoor 62%
Sports · Match Winner 54%
Sports · Joao Fonseca 57%
Sports · Match Winner 91%
Sports · Match Winner 59%
Sports · Naomi Osaka 85%
Sports · Match Winner 36%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Venus Williams hits 13-game tennis losing streak with Cincinnati Open exit — Al Jazeera
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 15 at 4:24AM CDT until August 15 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 15 at 4:23AM CDT until August 15 at 8:15AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 15 at 3:25AM CDT until August 15 at 6:45AM CDT by NWS Chicago IL — National Weather Service
- Where to Eat and Drink at a Barcelona Bar Like a Local — New York Times
- PSG sign World Cup final match-winner Torres from Barcelona — BBC
- Russia Campaigned to Derail Moldova’s Pro-Western Government — New York Times
- Nigel Farage investigation reopened by parliamentary watchdog after Clacton byelection win – UK politics live — The Guardian
- UK far-right leader Farage re-elected in boycotted by-election — Al Jazeera
- Flash Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.