The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Friday, August 14, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Farage 20-40% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30°C · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Binface 20–30% · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Nuno Borges 65%
Sports · Jakub Mensik 71%
Sports · Hubert Hurkacz 61%
Sports · Rafael Jodar 75%
Sports · Miomir Kecmanovic 51%
Sports · Lorenzo Musetti 88%
Sports · Alex Michelsen 61%
Sports · Valentin Vacherot 64%
Sports · Match Winner 74%
Sports · Rafael Jodar 56%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Nigel Farage investigation reopened by parliamentary watchdog after Clacton byelection win – UK politics live — The Guardian
- UK far-right leader Farage re-elected in boycotted by-election — Al Jazeera
- Flash Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 14 at 5:22AM EDT until August 14 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Red Flag Warning issued August 14 at 2:25AM PDT until August 14 at 9:00PM PDT by NWS Seattle WA — National Weather Service
- ‘Extensive’ devastation caused by major fire in England as 150 million in Europe to experience temperatures above 35C – Europe live — The Guardian
- Little rain on the horizon as England and Wales experience driest July on record — The Guardian
- La Liga: Barcelona key talking points heading into new 2026-27 season — Al Jazeera
- Russia Campaigned to Derail Moldova’s Pro-Western Government — New York Times
- Russia says hit Ukrainian railway and port facilities in new strikes — Al Jazeera
- Baier pushes back on Trump's Strait of Hormuz claim: 'Traffic has slowed ... to a trickle' — The Hill
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.