The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Thursday, August 13, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Crowley wins · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Creeper (again) · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
30-49 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Ralph Norman · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Terence Atmane 52%
Sports · Cameron Norrie 68%
Sports · Ekaterina Alexandrova 54%
Sports · Iga Swiatek 93%
Sports · Maya Joint 59%
Sports · Match Winner 38%
Sports · Emma Navarro 68%
Sports · Joao Fonseca 60%
Sports · Washington 51%
Sports · Match Winner 36%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Polls open in Clacton, where Farage spent more than £10,000 in byelection against Count Binface – UK politics live — The Guardian
- Nigel Farage vs. Count Binface: Britain’s very strange special election, explained — The Hill
- Flood Warning issued August 13 at 6:13AM EDT until August 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued August 13 at 6:13AM EDT until August 16 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued August 13 at 6:13AM EDT until August 14 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- ‘Lauf’ and ‘minceur’: the words that made a 13-year-old from Melbourne a world Scrabble champion — The Guardian
- Paxton, Talarico locked in dead heat for Texas Senate: Poll — The Hill
- Japan protests as Russia’s Putin visits disputed Kuril Islands — Al Jazeera
- David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor — The Guardian
- Wisconsin result halts winning streak for Democratic Party's left wing — BBC
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 6:00AM EDT until August 11 at 6:30AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:58AM EDT until August 11 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.