The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Wednesday, August 12, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Crowley wins · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Ralph Norman · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
↓ 1.00 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
August 11 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
The Signal Sheet
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Match Winner 42%
Sports · Polina Kudermetova 56%
Sports · Elina Svitolina 84%
Sports · FK Bodø/Glimt 59%
Sports · New York 75%
Sports · Camila Osorio 54%
Sports · Andrey Rublev 79%
Sports · Washington 56%
Sports · Minnesota 70%
Sports · Golden State 70%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
No change · Polymarket · verify current venue listing ↗
On the wire
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 12 at 6:04AM EDT until August 12 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- Flood Warning issued August 12 at 5:53AM EDT until August 12 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- Flood Watch issued August 12 at 5:38AM EDT until August 13 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Indianapolis IN — National Weather Service
- David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor — The Guardian
- 8-K - National Vision Holdings, Inc. (0001710155) (Filer) — SEC EDGAR
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal eye move for Barcelona's Koundé — ESPN
- Wisconsin result halts winning streak for Democratic Party's left wing — BBC
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 6:00AM EDT until August 11 at 6:30AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:58AM EDT until August 11 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:50AM EDT until August 11 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 6:08AM EDT until August 11 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Special Marine Warning issued August 11 at 6:00AM EDT until August 11 at 6:45AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.