The Daily Signal Sheet
Signal Sheet — Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Today: 8 markets moved — September 30 up 83 pts to 97%, 10 events resolve this week.
Biggest odds moves
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
August 11 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
July 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
August 31 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
September 30 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
France · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
160-179 · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
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On the calendar this week
Sports · Jack Draper 67%
Sports · Sebastian Baez 52%
Sports · Nikola Bartunkova 61%
Sports · Matteo Berrettini 65%
Sports · Pablo Carreno Busta 67%
Sports · Thiago Agustin Tirante 75%
Sports · Stefanos Tsitsipas 64%
Sports · Jacob Fearnley 61%
Sports · Arthur Fils 60%
Sports · Corentin Moutet 51%
Market snapshots
Kimi Antonelli · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Philadelphia 76ers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Los Angeles Dodgers · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Mercedes · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
Harry Kane · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
No change · Polymarket · Find on Polymarket US ↗
On the wire
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 6:00AM EDT until August 11 at 6:30AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:58AM EDT until August 11 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:50AM EDT until August 11 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Cleveland OH — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 4:54AM EDT until August 11 at 5:15AM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI — National Weather Service
- Flash Flood Warning issued August 11 at 5:11AM EDT until August 11 at 5:15AM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA — National Weather Service
- 'That's a good idea': U.S. and Iran trade reparation demands as Hormuz deal hopes fade — CNBC
- Progressives face latest test in Midwest with Hong, Flanagan — The Hill
- Amber heat health alerts kick in across most of England ahead of fifth summer heatwave – latest news — The Guardian
- England set to eliminate hepatitis C — BBC
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 6:08AM EDT until August 11 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Special Marine Warning issued August 11 at 6:00AM EDT until August 11 at 6:45AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 11 at 5:48AM EDT until August 11 at 6:15AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana — National Weather Service
Implied probabilities are dated, venue-attributed observations captured for this issue — not current quotes, forecasts, or advice. Verify the current listing on the venue. 18+.