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Topic
The most-traded FIFA World Cup market right now: "Which continent will win the World Cup? — Odds & Probability" — a 59% implied probability of Europe (UEFA) on Polymarket, as of July 19, 2026.
Winner, golden boot, stage-of-elimination, and prop markets on the biggest tournament in sport — the deepest event book of 2026.
World Cup 2026 arena — the full event tracker6
Live markets
$4.43B
Tracked volume
40
Settled archives
LIVE · NOW
Europe (UEFA) · Polymarket · $10.6M vol
France · Polymarket · $2.4M vol
Argentina · Polymarket · $1.9M vol
9+ · Polymarket · $378.2K vol
Michael Olise · Polymarket · $304.1K vol
9+ · Polymarket · $261.8K vol
ARCHIVE
Final pre-close reads, frozen as permanent archives — see the full settled markets archive.
Final read: History · Polymarket · $194.7K vol
Final read: Norway · Polymarket · $282.7K vol
Final read: Unai Simón · Polymarket · $280.2K vol
Final read: Kylian Mbappé · Polymarket · $172.7K vol
Final read: Lamine Yamal · Polymarket · $319.8K vol
Final read: Spain · Polymarket · $661.2K vol
Final read: 5+ matches · Polymarket · $536.9K vol
Final read: Yes · Polymarket · $1.1M vol
Final read: ESP vs ENG · Polymarket · $280K vol
Final read: Lionel Messi · Polymarket · $14.1M vol
FAQ
The most-traded live FIFA World Cup market is "Which continent will win the World Cup? — Odds & Probability", where the market implies a 59% chance of Europe (UEFA) on Polymarket. W.E.T. tracks 6 live FIFA World Cup markets in total.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated US exchange) and Polymarket (crypto-native). W.E.T. aggregates both books in one place — implied probability, volume, and the cross-venue gap when the same market trades on both — as data, not advice.
No. Implied probability is a live market price — what traders are collectively paying — not a forecast from W.E.T. Settled markets on this page are frozen archives of the final pre-close read.
W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. Implied probabilities are live market prices, not forecasts or advice. See the methodology and disclaimer.