Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place — Odds & Probability
By Corbin V King · Updated October 4, 2026
This market has settled. Its final read (October 4, 2026) was a 14% implied probability for Angela Murray on Polymarket, with $71.9K in venue-reported volume.
Final implied probability
Market favorite
Angela Murray — market favorite
Polymarket · $71.9K reported volume
14%
Implied
The slate at this observation
Ceremony
Big Brother Season 28
2 categories priced
Still contested
1
inside 15 points
Tightest
+1
3rd Place
3rd Placesettled
Contested- Angela Murray14%
- Melody Morris13%
- Taylor Brown12%
- Yash Patel11%
- Dee Valladares8%
- Drew Campbell7%
+1 pt margin · 17 nominees · 11 more
2nd Placesettled
Clear favourite- Angela Murray37%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Rick Devens10%
- Dee Valladares8%
- Yash Patel6%
- Melody Morris6%
+20 pt margin · 17 nominees · 11 more
Categories represented in this snapshot, tightest observed race first. The lower bar is the runner-up; the gap between them is the recorded margin.
Final odds — settled market snapshotsettled October 4, 2026
| Outcome | Venue | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
Angela Murray | Polymarket | 14% | $2.1K |
Melody Morris | Polymarket | 13% | $4.5K |
Taylor Brown | Polymarket | 12% | $2.7K |
Yash Patel | Polymarket | 11% | $4.5K |
Dee Valladares | Polymarket | 8% | $7.9K |
Drew Campbell | Polymarket | 7% | $2K |
Barrett Pfeiffer | Polymarket | 6% | $4.4K |
Rick Devens | Polymarket | 5% | $5.9K |
LaTrice Verrett | Polymarket | 5% | $1.2K |
Rome Seymour | Polymarket | 3% | $6K |
Mallory Aurichio | Polymarket | 3% | $1.6K |
Haley Thogmartin | Polymarket | 2% | $4.2K |
Lyric Medeiros | Polymarket | 2% | $1.8K |
Jason De Puy | Polymarket | 1% | $13.8K |
Kamu Kirk | Polymarket | 1% | $4.2K |
Ashley Trail | Polymarket | 1% | $2.9K |
Chuk Anyanwu | Polymarket | 1% | $2.3K |
Implied probability = the market’s YES price read as a percentage. This market has settled — these are the final tracked figures, frozen as a historical archive.
Evidencestored reads, labeled by measure
Evidence is keyed on the first 16 of 17 keyable listings on this snapshot (the route's per-request cap); the rest were not read.
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
W.E.T. Score
How much signal is behind this number?
The W.E.T. Score grades the evidence, not the outcome. Five inputs — comparable volume evidence, news corroboration, cross-venue verification, market coverage, and track-record depth — scored against how much verifiable signal sits behind the headline probability.
Scored from the final settled snapshot · 44/100 · Developing Signal
| Component | Points | What the data says |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 19/30 | $71.9K in comparable USD-reported volume. Log-scaled: $1k scores 0, while $1M+ maxes the component. |
| News corroboration | 0/20 | No wire headlines matched this event at snapshot time — the price stands alone. |
| Cross-venue verification | 8/20 | No canonical exact-match pair is available for this snapshot. Related listings are not compared, so this component remains at the documented neutral 8/20. |
| Market coverage | 15/15 | 17 tracked markets on this event — more side markets and strikes mean more angles pricing the same story. |
| Track-record depth | 2/15 | 1 attributable day tied to one venue, favorite, and listing key. Legacy unkeyed points earn no depth credit. |
The W.E.T. Score measures evidence quality — comparable volume, verified agreement, coverage, and corroboration behind a price. Venue-reported contract counts are never treated as dollars. It is not a prediction of the outcome, not a rating of whether the favorite wins, and not trading advice: a Thin Signal market can still resolve YES, and a Prime Signal market can still resolve NO. Full weighting and worked examples in the methodology.
The desk layer
Prediction desk tools
The published reading above is complete. Account-aware tools load after the article settles so identity work cannot compete with the answer.
Checking desk access…
Key takeaways
- Final market read: Angela Murray at 14% implied probability on Polymarket.
- The attributed event snapshot reports $72K in venue-native volume before close.
- This is a settled-market archive — the market’s final pre-close read, not the venue’s official resolution.
This market has settled. The final prediction-market read before close was 14% implied probability for Angela Murray on Polymarket.
The market's final read
Angela Murray closed as the narrow leader of a wide field, at 14%. The attributed event snapshot reports $72K in venue-native volume.
How the odds moved
The final tracked read was 14% for Angela Murray. Implied probability is the attributed venue listing's price read as a percentage. It repriced as news landed, right up until the market closed.
Why settled odds still matter
A settled market is a permanent record of what traders collectively expected before the outcome was known — the raw material for judging how well prediction markets forecast the real world. This page archives the market's final pre-close read; the official resolved outcome is published by the venue itself. Comparing final reads to outcomes across many markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
Browse the live Entertainment odds & probability desk for markets still trading, or the Event Dashboard for real-time prices. For how these numbers were sourced and computed, see the methodology.
Frequently asked questions
What were the final odds for Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place?
The market closed with Angela Murray at 14% implied probability on Polymarket. That was W.E.T.'s final attributed listing observation before the market settled.
Did the prediction market get Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place right?
This page archives the market's final pre-close read — 14% for Angela Murray. The officially resolved outcome is published by the venue. Comparing final market reads to real outcomes across many events is exactly how prediction-market accuracy is measured, which is why settled archives like this one matter.
Are these odds still live?
No. This market has settled and the figures on this page are frozen as a historical archive. Live markets are on the predictions desk and the Event Dashboard.
Markets & sources
How Prediction Market Odds Work: Reading Prices as Probabilities
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<p style="font:13px/1.4 sans-serif;margin:6px 0 0">Odds via <a href="https://www.worldeventtrading.com/predictions/big-brother-season-28-3rd-place-odds-2026-10-01?utm_source=wet-embed&utm_medium=attribution&utm_content=big-brother-season-28-3rd-place-odds-2026-10-01">World Event Trading</a></p>W.E.T. is an information and data service — not a gambling operator. We take no bets and hold no funds. Nothing here is financial, legal, betting, or tax advice, or a prediction of the outcome, and prediction market trading involves risk of loss. Prediction markets may be restricted or illegal in your jurisdiction — check local law. 18+. See how we source and compute these odds in our methodology, or read the full disclaimer.
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