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All event outcomes →Venue observation · Observation time unavailable
Evidence
Evidence pending— stored reads in flight; the market above is already complete.
Market backs No at 100% — all but decided.
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Tarcísio de Freitas · select venue
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Kalshi · YES side
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Venue cutoff 2027-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · 1.1K contracts
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket · YES side
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Venue cutoff 2026-10-05T03:59:00.000Z · $10.7K
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Polymarket links search the US catalog. Availability and terms may differ from the global quote.
Native contract response received . This is WET’s document ingestion time.
Refused · no-key-match
no listed WET index holds any of these listings as a constituent
Measured 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC: one listing key checked against 1581 keyed constituent refs
Retires when a listed index takes one of these listings as a constituent and the artifact is rebuilt
Refused · not-configured
The research engine has not been activated.
Retires when the research engine is activated for this process: its stored feed configured and its tables initialised
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Venue-published close instants and kernel identity fields · not an observation row
As-of time not recorded · unknown
Polymarket · retrieved 2026-09-29 06:05 UTC · venue terms permit display · venue-settlement-rules/v1