Readings may not describe today8 scheduled closes did not landWhy →
8 behind

8 scheduled closes did not land — the daily index publish was due at 10:37 UTC on 2026-09-08 and the newest print on file is still 2026-09-07. The reading below is carried forward from that date and does not describe today.

Readings below are the last that settled; none has been carried forward, restated or interpolated to cover the gap. Every row states its own date and wears its own age. How the desk publishes

Retired for vagueness · no longer on the board

This index was published under the desk’s current standard and withdrawn from the board by amendment v1.3 §10, which holds a universe to the bar the thesis has always been held to: a universe that declares only a category makes no claim any market could falsify. Its methodology, its inverse twin and its failure ladder were all compiled — the declaration of what it was about is what did not hold up. It is still published and its dated history is intact, but it is not part of the listed suite and should not be quoted as a current W.E.T. index. It returns to the board the day a committed spec declares a universe that names its subject — the bar it was refused by (`universe-names-no-subject`). Compiling a methodology is not the missing piece and never was. See the published suite →

WSTW

W.E.T. Storm Watch Index

v1SlateDaily
27.10Stale · 8 closes behindLow & cooling, volatile

As of Sep 7, 2026 · last moved Sep 7, 2026 · scale 0–100 (BenignExtreme)

How extreme the next two weeks of weather markets are pricing.

Retired read instead: W.E.T. Climate & Disaster Risk Index. this reading declared the `climate` category and one venue tag and no vocabulary of its own, admitting the whole category cut on the measured board, and it closed at 1 priced constituent against a floor of 3. Climate & Disaster Risk is where the climate board is read now — but it is the SEASON-LONG board, not this one’s two-week window, so it is a route rather than a like-for-like replacement. The short-dated weather reading is not currently published. This page and its full history remain published for continuity.

No level published for this basket

No level published — the replayed series does not reconcile with this book. The replay ends -77.2% from base while the book's own closed and open positions give -23.0% — a 54-point disagreement. This book's units were resized by a rebalance without a new open date, so its day-one sizing is not recoverable from anything on disk and the history cannot be replayed honestly. A refusal is publishable; a wrong level is not.

Basket level · official print0 held · close 2026-09-14
No level publishedbase 1000

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage

Basket performance

hypothetical · mid marks · before fees, spread and slippage
Basket total return
Since inception
Cost to cross
Holdings marked
0.0% of 0
1 day
7 day
Markets held
0
Settled
36
Rebalanced out
0
Hit rate
Cash
Inception
2026-08-01
Weighting
Equal notional
Marks
Two-sided mid
Days tracked
0

Equal notional from each holding’s inception mark, re-marked at the two-sided mid. Percentages only, size-blind — never a cash figure and never a performance claim.

Cost to cross is the weighted half-spread at the touch on the newest mark tape: what entering at the quote rather than the midpoint would have cost. It is the price of the FIRST unit and says nothing about the tenth — the resting size beside each holding is published so a reader can judge whether their own size fits. It is not deducted from any return above.

A published measurement of what these markets did together. Not an account, not directly investable; W.E.T. never handles orders.

Holdings

held since 2026-08-01 · the reading above is computed over today's roster, which differs

No open holdings. The basket is entirely in cash until the next scheduled review.

Full basket ledger — settled outcomes, rebalance history, methodology →

Key statistics

governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews
Previous
Band
Low
13d Range
2059
Percentile
15th
29d Change
0.3
Volatility
12.1 pts/d
Streak
Markets
3
Effective N
3.0
Top Weight
33%
Venues
3 P
Method
v1
Basket
3/36
Frozen
2026-09-01
Chain
×0.7675

Daily close

13d published · interactive

13 published close(s) — 0–100 (Benign → Extreme). Drag to pan, scroll to zoom. One slot per published close, not one per day: dates on the axis are real, the spacing between them is not. 25 day(s) inside this window published no close and are not drawn at all. For the calendar-true spacing, read the chart below. Drawn as a line, not candles: a daily close carries no open, high or low, and a candle would assert an intraday range nobody observed.

History & 14-day projection

solid = 13d published · dashed = projected · no band published
020406080100now25
Projected 14d
24.60
Change
2.50
80% band
not published — the 14d dispersion is wider than the 0–100 scale
Confidence
low

Model extrapolation of the published series (robust trend, 13 readings, slope -0.36/day, projection σ 17.2 pts/d widened for a 13-reading sample) — a benchmark projection, not a W.E.T. forecast.

Desk read

W.E.T. analysis — Premium
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Premium

The desk's read on today's move

Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.

Checking access…

What moved today

attribution — Premium
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Premium

Which markets moved the index, and by how much

Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.

Checking access…

Contribution by category

weight share of today's value
climate100% · 3

Constituents by weight

all 3 · what today's reading was computed over (2026-09-07) · the basket below holds a different set

The view this index measures

Every W.E.T. index tracks a question someone can hold a view on. This one is mapped to these 2 questions in the Worldview thesis map. Answering one places you on its continuum; this index is what that answer is measurable against.

  • How does the energy transition play out?

    Fossil fuels outlast forecastsThe transition accelerates
  • How hard does storm season hit?

    Quieter than fearedRecords fall again

Where do you stand? The Worldview builder asks from this same set of questions and matches your answers to the W.E.T. indexes that measure them.

Turn your perspective into a portfolio →

WSTW · at a glance

What it is
The near-term weather gauge — what the next two weeks are pricing.
High vs low
Higher = the short-dated board is pricing extremes. Lower = benign.
Who cares
Weather desks and anyone reading the short-dated temperature and storm board.

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Quote this index

free to cite with attribution + the as-of date
“As of Sep 7, 2026, the W.E.T. Storm Watch Index (WSTW) prints a WET Index Score of 27.1/100 (Low), per World Event Trading.”

Full methodology →JSONLive intradayDaily report

Maintained by Corbin V King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.