WSTW
W.E.T. Storm Watch Index
v158.50— Moderate
As of Aug 1, 2026 · last moved Aug 1, 2026 · scale 0–100 (Benign → Extreme)
How extreme the next two weeks of weather markets are pricing.
View the basket — the real markets + combined performance →Key statistics
governed basket · membership fixed between monthly reviews- Previous
- —
- Band
- Moderate
- 1d Range
- building
- Percentile
- —
- 7d Change
- —
- Volatility
- —
- Streak
- —
- Markets
- 36
- Effective N
- 14.3
- Top Weight
- 19%
- Volume
- $224k
- Venues
- 1 K · 35 P
- Method
- v1
- Basket
- 36/36
- Frozen
- 2026-08-01
History & 14-day projection
projection builds with historyProjection begins once 7 daily readings are in (1/7 so far).
Desk read
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The desk's read on today's move
Why the index moved, in the desk's words — not just the arithmetic.
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What moved today
attribution — Premium🔒
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Which markets moved the index, and by how much
Signed contribution per constituent, ranked.
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Contribution by category
weight share of today's valueclimate100% · 36
Constituents by weight
colored by category · every input auditable on its venueWill Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?69% · 18.7%
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 86-87° on Aug 1, 2026? — 86° to 87°96% · 13.0%
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?86% · 4.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?81% · 4.5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?45% · 4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?55% · 3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 2?51% · 3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2?33% · 3.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2?47% · 3.2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 2?49% · 2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 2?53% · 2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?46% · 2.5%
WSTW · at a glance
- What it is
- The near-term weather gauge — what the next two weeks are pricing.
- High vs low
- Higher = the short-dated board is pricing extremes. Lower = benign.
- Who cares
- Weather desks and anyone reading the short-dated temperature and storm board.
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free to cite with attribution + the as-of date“As of Aug 1, 2026, the W.E.T. Storm Watch Index (WSTW) prints a WET Index Score of 58.5/100 (Moderate), per World Event Trading.”
Maintained by Corbin King. A benchmark reading of market prices — data, not advice. See the disclaimer.