The Index Desk Report
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
24.3Low
70 / 148 live21 elevated24 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 24.3 (Low), flat.
Published at 24.3 (Low), led by commodity-stress (20% leg) (21→21%) −0.1 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (22→23%) +0.1 repricing.
The board: 70 of 148 benchmarks live — 21 elevated (≥60), 24 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +18.2bps expected change (26% hold); cumulative +43.2bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.86% (80% band 3.53–4.24%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WELEC 64.9 (▲11.0) — Election — Politics, inside six months, up 11.0 on the day.
- WPRES 64.3 (▲9.2) — President — Politics, inside six months, up 9.2 on the day.
- WMEE3 56.0 (▲8.8) — Meeting — Economics, inside two years, up 8.8 on the day.
- WGOO2 68.6 (▼7.6) — Google — Tech Science, inside two months, down 7.6 on the day.
- WREP2 53.2 (▲6.7) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, up 6.7 on the day.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 52.1 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 47.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WMATH projected 32.7 in 14d (80% band 0–85), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 25.9 | +0.1 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 4.2 | +0.3 | 2026-11-03 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 46.8 | -1.4 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.2 | -0.2 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 25.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 27.6 | -2.9 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 22.8 | +0.5 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 50.9 | -4.8 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 66.5 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 20.9 | -0.5 | 2026-11-03 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 88.4 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 72.6 | +1.8 | 2026-11-03 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 53.6 | -2.4 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 43.6 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 29.7 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 37.5 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 36.0 | -0.1 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 77.8 | +0.4 | 2026-11-03 | Elevated & steady |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 68.1 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 25.5 | +1.3 | 2026-11-03 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 22.7 | -0.6 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 38.6 | -1.3 | 2026-11-03 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 53.5 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 100.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 81.4 | -1.6 | 2026-11-03 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 24.3 | 0.0 | 2026-11-03 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 18.5 | -0.1 | 2026-11-03 | Very low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 50.4 | -0.4 | 2026-11-03 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 54.1 | -5.4 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 55.0 | +5.6 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 33.1 | +0.4 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 50.5 | +3.5 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 46.2 | -2.0 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 64.9 | +11.0 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 36.6 | — | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 35.8 | -1.5 | 2026-11-02 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 68.6 | -7.6 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 38.2 | +0.6 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 61.8 | -0.6 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 45.2 | +5.0 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 36.4 | -2.0 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 63.6 | +2.0 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 41.3 | +4.1 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 58.7 | -4.1 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 80.5 | -3.6 | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 66.3 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 36.1 | +2.4 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 73.1 | -1.2 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 68.8 | +2.3 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 56.0 | +8.8 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 65.1 | — | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 30.2 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 45.7 | -1.9 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling |
| WPART | Party — Elections, inside six months | 45.1 | +4.9 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 4.2 | — | 2026-11-02 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 95.8 | — | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 48.1 | -2.3 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 51.9 | +2.3 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 64.3 | +9.2 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 48.3 | +4.3 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 53.6 | +2.4 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 46.4 | -2.4 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 61.5 | +4.4 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 72.0 | +0.5 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 53.2 | +6.7 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 55.8 | -0.7 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 55.7 | -2.5 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 37.9 | -1.0 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 34.3 | +0.9 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.