The Index Desk Report
Monday, November 2, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
24.3Low
90 / 148 live25 elevated32 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 24.3 (Low), down 0.3.
Published at 24.3 (Low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (27→26%) −0.3 repricing; recession-odds (25% leg) +0.1 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (23→22%) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 90 of 148 benchmarks live — 25 elevated (≥60), 32 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +17.2bps expected change (28% hold); cumulative +42.2bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.89% (80% band 3.56–4.23%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WALBU 59.5 (▲13.8) — Album — Culture, inside six months, up 13.8 on the day.
- WSENA 58.2 (▼11.8) — Senate — Elections, inside six months, down 11.8 on the day.
- WGOO2 76.2 (▲9.4) — Google — Tech Science, inside two months, up 9.4 on the day.
- WDEMO 48.1 (▲7.6) — Democratic — Elections, inside two years, up 7.6 on the day.
- WMEE3 47.1 (▼7.0) — Meeting — Economics, inside two years, down 7.0 on the day.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 54.4 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 45.6 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSANF projected 61.0 in 14d (80% band 22–100), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 25.8 | -0.7 | 2026-11-02 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 3.9 | -1.2 | 2026-11-02 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 48.2 | -2.4 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.4 | -1.2 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 25.4 | +0.3 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 30.5 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 22.3 | -0.8 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 55.7 | -0.6 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 66.5 | +0.5 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 21.4 | +0.2 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 88.4 | — | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 70.8 | +1.8 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 56.0 | -3.6 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 43.6 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 29.7 | -0.6 | 2026-11-02 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 37.5 | +0.2 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 36.1 | -0.9 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 77.4 | +1.9 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & steady |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 68.1 | +0.8 | 2026-11-02 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 24.2 | +0.4 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 23.3 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 39.9 | +0.8 | 2026-11-02 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 84.1 | — | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 53.5 | — | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 100.0 | — | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 83.0 | 0.0 | 2026-11-02 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 24.3 | -0.3 | 2026-11-02 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 18.6 | -0.1 | 2026-11-02 | Very low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 50.8 | -0.7 | 2026-11-02 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 17.0 | +1.5 | 2026-11-01 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 83.0 | -1.5 | 2026-11-01 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 59.5 | +13.8 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 49.4 | +2.2 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 32.7 | -1.0 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 47.0 | -1.3 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 33.8 | -6.3 | 2026-11-01 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 45.4 | +6.5 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 54.6 | -6.5 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 38.4 | +0.1 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 48.1 | +7.6 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 37.6 | +1.1 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 62.4 | -1.1 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 53.9 | -1.1 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 37.3 | +2.2 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 65.0 | -3.8 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 76.2 | +9.4 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 18.6 | +2.0 | 2026-11-01 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 81.4 | -2.0 | 2026-11-01 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 37.7 | +5.2 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 62.3 | -5.2 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 40.2 | -0.7 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 38.4 | +5.5 | 2026-11-01 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 61.6 | -5.5 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 37.2 | +2.3 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 62.8 | -2.3 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 84.0 | +0.9 | 2026-11-01 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 66.2 | -6.7 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 38.9 | -0.6 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 61.1 | +0.6 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 43.9 | -2.0 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 56.1 | +2.0 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 33.7 | +3.4 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 74.3 | +3.3 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 66.5 | +6.9 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 47.1 | -7.0 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 9.7 | +0.2 | 2026-11-01 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 90.3 | -0.2 | 2026-11-01 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 30.1 | +1.4 | 2026-11-01 | Low & steady |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 47.6 | +1.5 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & steady |
| WPART | Party — Elections, inside six months | 40.2 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 50.4 | +5.4 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 49.6 | -5.4 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 55.1 | +4.6 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 44.0 | +5.0 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 51.1 | -4.3 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 48.9 | +4.3 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 57.1 | +3.3 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 71.5 | +1.6 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 59.1 | -2.3 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 46.6 | +3.6 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 56.4 | +3.5 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 57.5 | -1.2 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 42.5 | +1.2 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 14.5 | -0.3 | 2026-11-01 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 85.5 | +0.3 | 2026-11-01 | Very high & steady, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 58.2 | -11.8 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 38.8 | -6.1 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 33.3 | +1.6 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 39.8 | -4.3 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 60.2 | +4.3 | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.