The Index Desk Report
Sunday, November 1, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
24.6Low
124 / 148 live40 elevated44 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 24.6 (Low), with no daily change published.
Constituents rebalanced; the basket changed too much to chain, so the series is rebased at 24.6 and price moves resume tomorrow. Not a market move.
The board: 124 of 148 benchmarks live — 40 elevated (≥60), 44 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +17.7bps expected change (28% hold); cumulative +42.7bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.91% (80% band 3.56–4.3%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WSENA 70.0 (▲22.1) — Senate — Elections, inside six months, up 22.1 on the day.
- WCODE 42.3 (▼19.5) — Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months, down 19.5 on the day.
- WMATH 30.2 (▼18.2) — Math — Tech Science, inside two months, down 18.2 on the day.
- WGOO2 66.8 (▼11.7) — Google — Tech Science, inside two months, down 11.7 on the day.
- WINCR 32.9 (▼9.5) — Increase — Economics, inside six months, down 9.5 on the day.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 48.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 51.1 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSANF projected 62.2 in 14d (80% band 23–100), trending up.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 26.5 | 0.0 | 2026-11-01 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 5.1 | — | 2026-11-01 | Very low & climbing |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 50.6 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.6 | 0.0 | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 25.1 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 30.5 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 23.1 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 56.3 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 66.0 | — | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 21.2 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 82.8 | — | 2026-11-01 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 69.0 | — | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 59.6 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 43.6 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 30.3 | 0.0 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 37.3 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 37.0 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 75.5 | — | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 67.3 | — | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 23.8 | 0.0 | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 23.3 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & steady |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 39.1 | 0.0 | 2026-11-01 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 78.1 | — | 2026-11-01 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 51.8 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 97.0 | — | 2026-11-01 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 83.0 | — | 2026-11-01 | Very high & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 24.6 | — | 2026-11-01 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 18.7 | — | 2026-11-01 | Very low & climbing |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 51.5 | — | 2026-11-01 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 15.5 | -0.7 | 2026-10-31 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 84.5 | +0.7 | 2026-10-31 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 45.7 | +0.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 54.1 | — | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 47.2 | +5.0 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARIZ | Arizona Football, inside six months | 50.2 | — | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARI2 | Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months | 49.9 | — | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 33.7 | +1.9 | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WATLA | Atlanta Football, inside six months | 26.5 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low |
| WATL2 | Inverse Atlanta Football, inside six months | 73.5 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 30.3 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 69.7 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 48.3 | -6.8 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 40.1 | +4.6 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 45.9 | — | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 54.1 | — | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 38.9 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 61.1 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCLEV | Cleveland Football, inside six months | 16.9 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WCLE2 | Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months | 83.1 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 42.3 | -19.5 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 38.3 | +0.8 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 20.3 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 79.7 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 40.5 | +3.4 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 36.5 | -0.4 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 63.5 | +0.4 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 27.0 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 73.0 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 55.0 | +2.0 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 27.9 | +4.6 | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 35.1 | -2.1 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 68.8 | +5.2 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WGOO2 | Google — Tech Science, inside two months | 66.8 | -11.7 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 14.2 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 85.8 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 16.6 | -0.9 | 2026-10-31 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 83.4 | +0.9 | 2026-10-31 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 32.4 | -6.8 | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 67.6 | +6.8 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 40.9 | +2.4 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WHOU2 | Houston Football, inside six months | 21.2 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHOU3 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 78.8 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 32.9 | -9.5 | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 67.1 | +9.5 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 34.9 | -5.2 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 65.1 | +5.2 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINDI | Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 5.9 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very low |
| WIND2 | Inverse Indianapolis Football, inside six months | 94.1 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very high |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 83.1 | -0.6 | 2026-10-31 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 72.9 | +0.5 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 39.5 | -1.4 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 60.5 | +1.4 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 45.9 | -0.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 54.1 | +0.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 18.7 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 81.3 | — | 2026-10-31 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WMATH | Math — Tech Science, inside two months | 30.2 | -18.2 | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 71.0 | +3.9 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 59.6 | -6.3 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 54.1 | -0.3 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 9.4 | +0.5 | 2026-10-31 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 90.6 | -0.5 | 2026-10-31 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 73.6 | +8.2 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMINN | Minnesota Football, inside six months | 26.4 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WMIN2 | Inverse Minnesota Football, inside six months | 73.6 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 30.8 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 69.2 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 28.7 | -1.1 | 2026-10-31 | Low & steady |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 46.1 | -3.4 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & steady |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 45.0 | -0.8 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 55.0 | +0.8 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 50.6 | -1.6 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 39.0 | +2.2 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 55.5 | +2.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 44.5 | -2.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 53.8 | +3.4 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 69.8 | +0.2 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 61.3 | +6.3 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WREPU | Republican — Elections, inside two weeks | 57.3 | -5.6 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 42.9 | -0.4 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 52.9 | -3.6 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 58.7 | +8.0 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 41.3 | -8.0 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 14.9 | -0.7 | 2026-10-31 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 85.1 | +0.7 | 2026-10-31 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seats — Elections, inside two weeks | 49.4 | +0.1 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSEA3 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 25.5 | — | 2026-10-31 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSEA4 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 74.5 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 70.0 | +22.1 | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 44.9 | +4.3 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 31.8 | -1.7 | 2026-10-31 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 44.0 | +2.9 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 56.0 | -2.9 | 2026-10-31 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 64.2 | — | 2026-10-31 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.