The Index Desk Report
Friday, October 30, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
21.3Low
88 / 148 live17 elevated32 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 21.3 (Low), up 0.7.
Rose 0.7 to 21.3 (Low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (26→27%) +0.4 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) (13→14%) +0.3 repricing.
The board: 88 of 148 benchmarks live — 17 elevated (≥60), 32 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Dec 2026) prices +18.5bps expected change (26% hold); cumulative +43.5bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Nov 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.91% (80% band 3.56–4.29%, n=21 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
What moved
- WELE2 24.1 (▼14.8) — Election — Politics, inside two months, down 14.8 on the day.
- WMEE3 40.4 (▼14.1) — Meeting — Economics, inside two years, down 14.1 on the day.
- WTAYL 28.9 (▼11.4) — Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months, down 11.4 on the day.
- WREP2 47.9 (▼10.7) — Republican — Elections, inside two years, down 10.7 on the day.
- WRELE 48.5 (▼10.6) — Released — Tech Science, inside six months, down 10.6 on the day.
Projection watch
- WPITT projected 57.2 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending up.
- WPIT2 projected 42.8 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WPART projected 36.1 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 26.7 | +1.0 | 2026-10-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 2.5 | +0.6 | 2026-10-30 | Very low & cooling |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 36.6 | -1.1 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 51.8 | -3.6 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 14.7 | 0.0 | 2026-10-30 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 34.3 | -1.3 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 27.6 | +0.1 | 2026-10-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 51.6 | +0.7 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 53.7 | +0.6 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 14.0 | +1.4 | 2026-10-30 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 82.8 | — | 2026-10-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 56.1 | -1.2 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 45.8 | -2.8 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 7.0 | — | 2026-10-05 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 30.1 | +0.3 | 2026-10-30 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 27.8 | -0.3 | 2026-10-30 | Low & steady |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 38.7 | -2.2 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 78.9 | 0.0 | 2026-10-30 | Elevated & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 67.3 | — | 2026-10-05 | Elevated & cooling |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 23.8 | -2.7 | 2026-10-30 | Low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 24.7 | -0.3 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 38.2 | -0.5 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 78.1 | — | 2026-10-05 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 51.8 | — | 2026-10-05 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 97.0 | — | 2026-10-05 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 75.6 | -0.1 | 2026-10-30 | Elevated & steady |
| WWRI | World Risk | 21.3 | +0.7 | 2026-10-30 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 11.4 | +0.6 | 2026-10-30 | Very low & cooling |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 41.8 | +0.2 | 2026-10-30 | Moderate & cooling |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 13.5 | 0.0 | 2026-10-29 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 86.5 | 0.0 | 2026-10-29 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 53.9 | +1.7 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 39.3 | +3.1 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 31.1 | -7.9 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 31.1 | -1.1 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 50.5 | -4.8 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 34.1 | +1.7 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 46.2 | +2.4 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 37.2 | +0.3 | 2026-10-29 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 62.8 | -0.3 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 57.3 | +3.0 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 24.1 | -14.8 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 33.2 | -3.4 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 65.9 | -2.0 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 14.8 | +0.4 | 2026-10-29 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 85.2 | -0.4 | 2026-10-29 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 41.6 | +6.4 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 58.4 | -6.4 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 46.5 | +4.8 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 38.1 | -1.3 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 61.9 | +1.3 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 24.5 | -3.6 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 75.5 | +3.6 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 66.3 | -7.5 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 51.1 | -5.4 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 40.5 | +0.5 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 59.5 | -0.5 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 45.7 | -2.3 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 54.3 | +2.3 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 51.1 | +0.3 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 50.6 | +5.2 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 40.4 | -14.1 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 69.1 | -3.0 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 29.1 | -1.7 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 45.1 | -4.1 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing |
| WPART | Party — Elections, inside six months | 39.6 | -5.4 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 53.2 | +10.1 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 46.8 | -10.1 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 58.4 | +7.0 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAC2 | Race — Elections, inside two years | 45.2 | -2.0 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 58.2 | -0.2 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 41.8 | +0.2 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 48.5 | -3.4 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 51.1 | -4.3 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 48.5 | -10.6 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREPU | Republican — Elections, inside two weeks | 65.7 | +1.4 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 47.9 | -10.7 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 68.1 | +1.2 | 2026-10-29 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 52.6 | -4.2 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 47.4 | +4.2 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 11.8 | -2.8 | 2026-10-29 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 88.2 | +2.8 | 2026-10-29 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seats — Elections, inside two weeks | 51.6 | -5.1 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 56.0 | +0.9 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 28.9 | -11.4 | 2026-10-29 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 33.4 | +3.7 | 2026-10-29 | Low & climbing |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 40.9 | -0.8 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 59.1 | +0.8 | 2026-10-29 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.