The Index Desk Report
LATESTThursday, September 17, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
20.9Low
87 / 139 live32 elevated37 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 20.9 (Low), down 0.8.
Fell 0.8 to 20.9 (Low), led by recession-odds (25% leg) (26→24%) −0.5 repricing; commodity-stress (20% leg) (18→18%) −0.2 repricing; geopolitical-risk (40% leg) −0.1 repricing.
The board: 87 of 139 benchmarks live — 32 elevated (≥60), 37 calm (<40).
What moved
- WRCI 23.8 (▼2.1) — Fell 2.1 to 23.8 (Low), led by Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8%… (66→56%) −0.8 repricing, −0.1 reweight; US recession by end of 2026? (13→11%) −0.8 repricing; Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end… (76→75%) −0.0 repricing, −0.1 reweight.
- WPTI 24.8 (▼1.7) — Fell 1.7 to 24.8 (Low), led by Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in… (15→11%) −0.9 repricing; Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by Dec… (33→31%) −0.2 repricing; Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? (4→3%) −0.1 repricing.
- WEHI 42.8 (▼1.5) — Fell 1.5 to 42.8 (Moderate), led by Trump out as President before 2027? (7→6%) −0.4 repricing; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… (74→75%) −0.4 repricing; Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in Californi… (32→30%) −0.3 repricing, −0.1 reweight.
- WUPR 28.7 (▼1.3) — Fell 1.2 to 28.7 (Low), led by political-turmoil (45% leg) (27→25%) −0.8 repricing; election-heat (30% leg) (44→43%) −0.5 repricing; geopolitical-risk (25% leg) −0.1 repricing.
- WMSI 16.4 (▼1.1) — Fell 1.1 to 16.4 (Very low), led by recession-odds (40% leg) (26→24%) −0.8 repricing; commodity-stress (35% leg) (18→18%) −0.3 repricing.
Projection watch
- WSEA2 projected 51.0 in 14d (80% band 11–92), trending down.
- WELE2 projected 79.7 in 14d (80% band 49–100), trending up.
- WRELE projected 54.1 in 14d (80% band 17–91), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 18.9 | -0.2 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & steady |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 42.8 | -1.5 | 2026-09-17 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 52.1 | +0.4 | 2026-09-17 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 23.8 | -2.1 | 2026-09-17 | Low & steady |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 37.6 | -0.1 | 2026-09-17 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 26.1 | +0.1 | 2026-09-17 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 44.6 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 24.8 | -1.7 | 2026-09-17 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 17.6 | -0.8 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 65.9 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 61.3 | -0.1 | 2026-09-17 | Elevated & steady |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 26.6 | — | 2026-09-17 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 32.7 | -0.6 | 2026-09-17 | Low & climbing |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 19.3 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.8 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 69.0 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Elevated & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 73.2 | — | 2026-09-14 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 19.5 | -0.5 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 28.3 | -0.6 | 2026-09-17 | Low & steady |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 42.3 | -0.8 | 2026-09-17 | Moderate & steady |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.1 | — | 2026-09-07 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 60.0 | — | 2026-09-13 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 97.0 | — | 2026-09-08 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 61.9 | 0.0 | 2026-09-17 | Elevated & steady |
| WWRI | World Risk | 20.9 | -0.8 | 2026-09-17 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 16.4 | -1.1 | 2026-09-17 | Very low & cooling |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 28.7 | -1.3 | 2026-09-17 | Low & cooling |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 20.8 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 79.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 71.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 43.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 55.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 32.8 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 67.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 74.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 42.6 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 57.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 38.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 53.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 29.8 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling |
| WDEMO | Democratic — Elections, inside two years | 55.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 25.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 74.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 44.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WELE2 | Election — Politics, inside two months | 72.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 32.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 62.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 25.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 74.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WHOUS | House — Elections, inside two years | 72.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 39.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 60.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 25.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 74.6 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 61.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 70.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WJACK | Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 25.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WJAC2 | Inverse Jacksonville Football, inside six months | 74.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 35.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 65.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 39.7 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 73.7 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 54.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 27.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 72.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 42.3 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & climbing |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 49.6 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 34.6 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 71.8 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 28.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 71.2 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 81.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Very high & climbing, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 60.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WREP2 | Republican — Elections, inside two years | 74.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 48.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 27.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 72.1 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 20.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 79.5 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 69.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSEA2 | Seats — Elections, inside two weeks | 58.6 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTAMP | Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 25.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WTAM2 | Inverse Tampa Bay Football, inside six months | 75.0 | — | 2026-09-16 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 41.4 | — | 2026-09-16 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WTRUM | Trump — Politics, inside six months | 26.9 | — | 2026-09-16 | Low & steady |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.