The Index Desk Report

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.

Headline · WWRI

W.E.T. World Risk Index

18.5Very low
96 / 128 live25 elevated41 calm

W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 18.5 (Very low), down 0.3.

Published at 18.5 (Very low), led by climate-risk (15% leg) (32→29%) −0.3 repricing.

The board: 96 of 128 benchmarks live — 25 elevated (≥60), 41 calm (<40).

What moved

  • WRESE 45.7 (▼17.5) — Reserve — Economics, inside six months, down 17.5 on the day.
  • WRATE 54.8 (▲15.0) — Rate — Economics, inside six months, up 15.0 on the day.
  • WRAT2 45.2 (▼15.0) — Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months, down 15.0 on the day.
  • WMEET 68.0 (▼8.0) — Meeting — Economics, inside six months, down 8.0 on the day.
  • WMIDT 56.8 (▲7.4) — Midterm — Elections, inside six months, up 7.4 on the day.

Projection watch

  • WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
  • WRAT4 projected 45.6 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
  • WSHI projected 20.8 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending down.

The full board

Ticker Index Score 1d As of Regime
WGRI Geopolitical Risk 17.8 +0.1 2026-08-25 Very low & steady, volatile
WFPI Fed Path 6.4 0.0 2026-08-25 Very low & cooling
WEHI Election Heat 47.3 +0.3 2026-08-25 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WARI AI Race 50.8 +0.5 2026-08-25 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRCI Recession Odds 23.6 0.0 2026-08-25 Low & steady
WCGF Crypto Greed 21.1 0.0 2026-08-25 Low & steady, volatile
WCDR Climate Risk 29.4 -2.2 2026-08-25 Low & cooling, volatile
WCHI Culture Heat 37.2 -1.6 2026-08-25 Low & cooling, volatile
WPTI Political Turmoil 25.4 +0.6 2026-08-25 Low & steady, volatile
WCOS Commodity Stress 5.4 0.0 2026-08-25 Very low & cooling, volatile
WSHI Sports Heat 30.7 2026-08-10 Low & cooling, volatile
WEGF Equity Greed 51.7 0.0 2026-08-25 Moderate & steady
WMID Midterm Control 56.0 +0.1 2026-08-25 Moderate & climbing
WELW Election Week 29.7 0.0 2026-08-25 Low & cooling, volatile
WFLA Flashpoint Watch 34.5 -0.1 2026-08-25 Low & cooling
WDCW Washington Week 32.7 0.0 2026-08-25 Low & steady
WGEA Global Easing 26.7 0.0 2026-08-25 Low & cooling
WINF Inflation Watch 49.9 +2.2 2026-08-25 Moderate & climbing
WEBI Earnings Beat 72.2 2026-08-12 Elevated & climbing
WBTP Bitcoin Path 8.9 0.0 2026-08-25 Very low & steady
WALT Altcoin Heat 28.3 +1.4 2026-08-25 Low & cooling
WAWD Awards Race 44.6 +0.7 2026-08-25 Moderate & cooling
WSTW Storm Watch 27.4 2026-08-09 Low & cooling, volatile
WFAV Favorites Combo 64.8 2026-08-05 Elevated
WSOC Soccer Heat 33.5 2026-08-08 Low & cooling, volatile
WNFL Gridiron Futures 52.3 0.0 2026-08-25 Moderate & climbing
WWRI World Risk 18.5 -0.3 2026-08-25 Very low & cooling, volatile
WMSI Macro Stress 12.9 0.0 2026-08-25 Very low & cooling
WUPR US Political Risk 30.1 +0.4 2026-08-25 Low & cooling
WACHI Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 30.9 +2.0 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WACH2 Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months 69.1 -2.0 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WALBU Album — Culture, inside six months 57.7 +2.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WANTH Anthropic — Financials, inside six months 45.0 -6.4 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WARTI Artist — Culture, inside six months 44.8 +1.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile
WBALT Baltimore Football, inside six months 29.8 -0.4 2026-08-24 Low & climbing, volatile
WBAL2 Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months 70.2 +0.4 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WBANK Bank — Economics, inside six months 55.6 -2.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WBUFF Buffalo Football, inside six months 39.9 -1.1 2026-08-24 Low & steady
WBUF2 Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months 60.1 +1.1 2026-08-24 Elevated & steady
WCAPT Capture — Politics, inside six months 50.8 -0.3 2026-08-24 Moderate & climbing
WCHIC Chicago Football, inside six months 15.8 -5.0 2026-08-24 Very low
WCHI2 Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months 84.2 +5.0 2026-08-24 Very high
WCINC Cincinnati Football, inside six months 26.6 -0.2 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WCIN2 Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months 73.4 +0.2 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WCLEV Cleveland Football, inside six months 25.3 -0.1 2026-08-24 Low & climbing, volatile
WCLE2 Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months 74.7 +0.1 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WCODE Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months 41.4 +0.1 2026-08-24 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WCOUN Country — Politics, inside six months 37.0 +1.8 2026-08-24 Low & cooling
WDETR Detroit Football, inside six months 14.4 +2.5 2026-08-24 Very low & steady
WDET2 Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months 85.6 -2.5 2026-08-24 Very high & steady
WELEC Election — Politics, inside six months 41.1 -3.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WFEDE Federal — Economics, inside six months 41.3 -2.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile
WGOOG Google — Tech Science, inside six months 49.4 -7.1 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WGREE Green Bay Football, inside six months 29.3 +2.1 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WGRE2 Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months 70.7 -2.1 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WHIGH Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 35.8 0.0 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WHIG2 Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months 64.2 0.0 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WHIKE Hike — Economics, inside six months 34.3 +0.4 2026-08-24 Low & climbing, volatile
WHIK2 Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months 65.7 -0.4 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WINCR Increase — Economics, inside six months 18.6 +0.1 2026-08-24 Very low & cooling
WINC2 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months 81.4 -0.1 2026-08-24 Very high & climbing
WINC3 Increase — Economics, inside two months 39.7 -1.1 2026-08-24 Low & cooling, volatile
WINC4 Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months 60.3 +1.1 2026-08-24 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WINC5 Increases — Economics, inside six months 15.4 -1.6 2026-08-24 Very low & cooling
WINC6 Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six months 84.6 +1.6 2026-08-24 Very high & climbing
WINTE Interest — Economics, inside six months 67.3 -4.3 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WINT2 Interest — Economics, inside two months 54.1 +0.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WKANS Kansas City Football, inside six months 29.3 -0.5 2026-08-24 Low & steady
WKAN2 Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months 70.7 +0.5 2026-08-24 Elevated & steady
WMEET Meeting — Economics, inside six months 68.0 -8.0 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WMEE2 Meeting — Economics, inside two months 59.3 +3.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WMIDT Midterm — Elections, inside six months 56.8 +7.4 2026-08-24 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WNEWE New England Football, inside six months 24.8 -0.8 2026-08-24 Low & cooling, volatile
WNEW2 Inverse New England Football, inside six months 75.2 +0.8 2026-08-24 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WNEWY New York Football, inside six months 11.1 -4.6 2026-08-24 Very low & cooling, volatile
WNEW3 Inverse New York Football, inside six months 88.9 +4.6 2026-08-24 Very high & climbing, volatile
WOPEN Openai — Financials, inside six months 47.4 -1.4 2026-08-24 Moderate & climbing
WOPE2 Openai — Financials, inside two years 45.2 +0.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling
WPARL Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months 54.2 -5.7 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile
WPHIL Philadelphia Football, inside six months 24.1 -0.2 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WPHI2 Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months 75.9 +0.2 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WPITT Pittsburgh Football, inside six months 6.2 +0.1 2026-08-24 Very low & steady
WPIT2 Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months 93.8 -0.1 2026-08-24 Very high & steady
WPRES President — Politics, inside six months 41.6 -0.6 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady
WRACE Race — Elections, inside six months 73.4 -2.8 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling, volatile
WRATE Rate — Economics, inside six months 54.8 +15.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRAT2 Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months 45.2 -15.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WRAT3 Rate — Economics, inside two months 59.4 -3.0 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile
WRAT4 Rates — Economics, inside two months 56.0 +1.8 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WRELE Released — Tech Science, inside six months 64.1 +3.4 2026-08-24 Elevated & climbing, volatile
WREPU Republican — Elections, inside two weeks 35.5 2026-08-24 Low
WRESE Reserve — Economics, inside six months 45.7 -17.5 2026-08-24 Moderate & cooling, volatile
WSCOR Score — Tech Science, inside six months 29.5 -0.3 2026-08-24 Low & climbing
WSCO2 Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months 70.5 +0.3 2026-08-24 Elevated & cooling
WSEAT Seats — Elections, inside two months 54.7 -4.8 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile
WTAYL Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months 44.6 +3.3 2026-08-24 Moderate & steady, volatile

Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.