The Index Desk Report
Monday, August 24, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
18.8Very low
105 / 128 live31 elevated44 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 18.8 (Very low), flat.
Published at 18.8 (Very low).
The board: 105 of 128 benchmarks live — 31 elevated (≥60), 44 calm (<40).
What moved
- WELW 29.7 (▼1.5) — Fell 1.6 to 29.7 (Low), led by Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican n… (66→69%) −1.4 repricing.
- WCHI 38.8 (▼0.9) — Fell 0.9 to 38.8 (Low), led by Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand… (27→23%) −0.5 repricing, +0.2 reweight; Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? (74→71%) +0.2 repricing; Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? −0.1 repricing.
- WEHI 47.0 (▼0.8) — Fell 0.8 to 47.0 (Moderate), led by Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the… (70→71%) −0.4 repricing; Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican n… (66→69%) −0.3 repricing, +0.1 reweight; 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House +0.0 repricing, −0.1 reweight.
- WFLA 34.6 (▲0.5) — Rose 0.5 to 34.6 (Low), led by US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? (10→12%) +0.5 repricing; US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31,… (50→53%) +0.3 repricing, +0.1 reweight; Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiatio… +0.0 repricing, −0.2 reweight.
- WAWD 43.9 (▼0.5) — Fell 0.5 to 43.9 (Moderate), led by Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP… (40→32%) −0.5 repricing; Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? (69→61%) +0.2 repricing, +0.1 reweight; Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Ou… (43→36%) −0.2 repricing.
Projection watch
- WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSHI projected 20.8 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending down.
- WFLA projected 27.5 in 14d (80% band 14–41), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 17.7 | +0.1 | 2026-08-24 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 6.4 | — | 2026-08-24 | Very low & cooling |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 47.0 | -0.8 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.3 | -0.3 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 23.6 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Low & steady |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 21.1 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 31.6 | -0.3 | 2026-08-24 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 38.8 | -0.9 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 24.8 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 30.7 | — | 2026-08-10 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 51.7 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 55.9 | -0.1 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & climbing |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | -1.5 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 34.6 | +0.5 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 32.7 | +0.1 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.7 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 47.7 | +0.3 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 72.2 | — | 2026-08-12 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 8.9 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Very low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 26.9 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 43.9 | -0.5 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.4 | — | 2026-08-09 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 64.8 | — | 2026-08-05 | Elevated |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 33.5 | — | 2026-08-08 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 52.3 | +0.4 | 2026-08-24 | Moderate & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 18.8 | 0.0 | 2026-08-24 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 12.9 | — | 2026-08-24 | Very low & cooling |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 29.7 | -0.2 | 2026-08-24 | Low & steady |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 29.0 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 71.0 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 55.7 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 51.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 43.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 30.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 69.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 58.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 41.0 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 59.0 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 51.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 20.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 79.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 26.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 73.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WCLEV | Cleveland Football, inside six months | 25.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCLE2 | Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months | 74.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 41.3 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 35.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & cooling |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 26.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 73.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 11.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 88.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & climbing |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 44.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 43.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 56.5 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 27.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 72.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 35.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 64.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 33.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 66.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WHOUS | Houston Football, inside six months | 18.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WHOU2 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 81.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & climbing |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 18.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & cooling |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 81.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & climbing |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 40.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 59.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WINC5 | Increases — Economics, inside six months | 17.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & steady |
| WINC6 | Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six months | 82.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & steady |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 71.5 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 53.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 29.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & steady |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 70.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & steady |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 76.0 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 56.3 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 49.5 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 25.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 74.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 15.7 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW3 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 84.3 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 48.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 44.7 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPARL | Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months | 59.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 24.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 75.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 6.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very low & steady |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 93.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Very high & steady |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 42.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & steady |
| WRACE | Race — Elections, inside six months | 76.3 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 39.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 60.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 62.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 54.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 60.7 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 63.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 24.2 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 75.8 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 29.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 70.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 59.5 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & climbing |
| WSEA2 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 26.4 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low & climbing |
| WSEA3 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 73.6 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated & cooling |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 41.3 | — | 2026-08-23 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WWASH | Washington Football, inside six months | 20.1 | — | 2026-08-23 | Low |
| WWAS2 | Inverse Washington Football, inside six months | 79.9 | — | 2026-08-23 | Elevated |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.