The Index Desk Report
Thursday, August 27, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
18.6Very low
100 / 128 live31 elevated44 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 18.6 (Very low), with no daily change published.
Published at 18.6 (Very low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (18→17%) −0.5 repricing; climate-risk (15% leg) (29→32%) +0.4 repricing; recession-odds (25% leg) (24→24%) +0.1 repricing.
The board: 100 of 128 benchmarks live — 31 elevated (≥60), 44 calm (<40).
WET Implied · real-unit readings
- Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Sep 2026) prices +7.4bps expected change (68% hold); cumulative +18.1bps by Dec 2026.
- Inflation (WIIN): Aug 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.32% (80% band 3.17–3.46%, n=26 strikes).
Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.
Projection watch
- WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSHI projected 20.8 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending down.
- WINCR projected 6.0 in 14d (80% band 0–27), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 16.6 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 6.4 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & cooling |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 47.3 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & steady, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.8 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 24.2 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & climbing |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 21.1 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 31.9 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 37.2 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 25.4 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 5.4 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 30.7 | — | 2026-08-10 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 51.7 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & steady |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 56.0 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & steady |
| WELW | Election Week | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 34.1 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & cooling |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 33.3 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & cooling |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.7 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & cooling |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 49.9 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & climbing |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 72.2 | — | 2026-08-12 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 8.8 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 27.7 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 44.6 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.4 | — | 2026-08-09 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 64.8 | — | 2026-08-05 | Elevated |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 33.5 | — | 2026-08-08 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 53.1 | — | 2026-08-27 | Moderate & climbing |
| WWRI | World Risk | 18.6 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 13.2 | — | 2026-08-27 | Very low & cooling |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 29.8 | — | 2026-08-27 | Low & steady |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 31.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 68.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 60.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 50.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 48.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 30.2 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 69.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 56.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 34.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 65.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 48.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & steady |
| WCHIC | Chicago Football, inside six months | 15.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low |
| WCHI2 | Inverse Chicago Football, inside six months | 84.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high |
| WCINC | Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 26.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing |
| WCIN2 | Inverse Cincinnati Football, inside six months | 73.2 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WCLEV | Cleveland Football, inside six months | 25.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCLE2 | Inverse Cleveland Football, inside six months | 74.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 46.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 36.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling |
| WDALL | Dallas Football, inside six months | 23.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WDAL2 | Inverse Dallas Football, inside six months | 77.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 12.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low & cooling |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 87.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high & climbing |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 44.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 44.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 47.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 24.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 75.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 37.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 62.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 33.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 66.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & steady, volatile |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 15.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low & cooling |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 84.2 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high & climbing |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 23.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 76.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WINC5 | Increases — Economics, inside six months | 15.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low & cooling |
| WINC6 | Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six months | 84.2 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high & climbing |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 71.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 56.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 30.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & steady |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 70.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & steady |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 72.5 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 77.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 34.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 57.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 35.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 64.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 16.5 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low & climbing, volatile |
| WNEW3 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 83.5 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high & cooling, volatile |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 48.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 46.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & steady |
| WPARL | Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months | 52.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 23.9 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 76.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 6.4 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very low & steady |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 93.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high & steady |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 41.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling |
| WRACE | Race — Elections, inside six months | 73.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling, volatile |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 38.3 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 61.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 78.2 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 73.0 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & climbing, volatile |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 57.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WREPU | Republican — Elections, inside two weeks | 34.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 57.1 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 30.5 | — | 2026-08-25 | Low & climbing |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 69.5 | — | 2026-08-25 | Elevated & cooling |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 49.7 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WSENA | Senate — Elections, inside six months | 80.6 | — | 2026-08-25 | Very high |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 41.8 | — | 2026-08-25 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.