The Index Desk Report
Thursday, August 20, 2026
The desk's daily brief — every WET Index Score, what moved it, and the projection watch. Composed arithmetically from the audited daily prints; published every morning. Subscribe via RSS.
Headline · WWRI
W.E.T. World Risk Index
19.7Very low
110 / 124 live35 elevated44 calm
W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 19.7 (Very low), with no daily change published.
Fell 0.6 to 19.7 (Very low), led by climate-risk (15% leg) (29→31%) +0.4 repricing.
The board: 110 of 124 benchmarks live — 35 elevated (≥60), 44 calm (<40).
What moved
- WANTH 44.4 (▼9.1) — Anthropic — Financials, inside six months, down 9.1 on the day.
- WBALT 20.5 (▼6.5) — Baltimore Football, inside six months, down 6.5 on the day.
- WBAL2 79.5 (▲6.5) — Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months, up 6.5 on the day.
- WBANK 51.9 (▼5.1) — Bank — Economics, inside six months, down 5.1 on the day.
- WOPE2 49.3 (▲5.1) — Openai — Financials, inside two years, up 5.1 on the day.
Projection watch
- WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
- WSHI projected 20.8 in 14d (80% band 0–99), trending down.
- WARI projected 41.6 in 14d (80% band 2–81), trending down.
The full board
| Ticker | Index | Score | 1d | As of | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WGRI | Geopolitical Risk | 17.6 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WFPI | Fed Path | 10.0 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & steady |
| WEHI | Election Heat | 46.8 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WARI | AI Race | 50.9 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & climbing, volatile |
| WRCI | Recession Odds | 22.9 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & steady |
| WCGF | Crypto Greed | 21.1 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & steady, volatile |
| WCDR | Climate Risk | 31.3 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & climbing, volatile |
| WCHI | Culture Heat | 40.2 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & cooling, volatile |
| WPTI | Political Turmoil | 24.6 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WCOS | Commodity Stress | 11.1 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & cooling, volatile |
| WSHI | Sports Heat | 30.7 | — | 2026-08-10 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WEGF | Equity Greed | 51.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & climbing |
| WMID | Midterm Control | 56.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & climbing |
| WELW | Election Week | 26.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFLA | Flashpoint Watch | 35.4 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & cooling |
| WDCW | Washington Week | 33.0 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & climbing |
| WGEA | Global Easing | 26.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & steady |
| WINF | Inflation Watch | 47.8 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & steady |
| WEBI | Earnings Beat | 72.2 | — | 2026-08-12 | Elevated & climbing |
| WBTP | Bitcoin Path | 8.9 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & steady |
| WALT | Altcoin Heat | 29.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & cooling |
| WAWD | Awards Race | 44.4 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & cooling |
| WSTW | Storm Watch | 27.4 | — | 2026-08-09 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WFAV | Favorites Combo | 64.8 | — | 2026-08-05 | Elevated |
| WSOC | Soccer Heat | 33.5 | — | 2026-08-08 | Low & cooling, volatile |
| WNFL | Gridiron Futures | 50.5 | — | 2026-08-20 | Moderate & steady |
| WWRI | World Risk | 19.7 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & steady, volatile |
| WMSI | Macro Stress | 15.5 | — | 2026-08-20 | Very low & steady |
| WUPR | US Political Risk | 29.5 | — | 2026-08-20 | Low & cooling |
| WACHI | Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 25.0 | -1.1 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WACH2 | Inverse Achieved — Tech Science, inside six months | 75.0 | +1.1 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WALBU | Album — Culture, inside six months | 60.2 | +4.1 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WANGE | Angeles — Sports, inside six months | 71.5 | +1.5 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WANTH | Anthropic — Financials, inside six months | 44.4 | -9.1 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WARIZ | Arizona Football, inside six months | 17.8 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WARI2 | Inverse Arizona Football, inside six months | 82.2 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WARTI | Artist — Culture, inside six months | 45.7 | -2.0 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WBALT | Baltimore Football, inside six months | 20.5 | -6.5 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WBAL2 | Inverse Baltimore Football, inside six months | 79.5 | +6.5 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WBANK | Bank — Economics, inside six months | 51.9 | -5.1 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WBUFF | Buffalo Football, inside six months | 40.7 | +1.4 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WBUF2 | Inverse Buffalo Football, inside six months | 59.3 | -1.4 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WCAPT | Capture — Politics, inside six months | 48.3 | -3.8 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WCODE | Code Arena — Tech Science, inside two months | 49.9 | +0.3 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WCOUN | Country — Politics, inside six months | 40.8 | +0.3 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WDENV | Denver Football, inside six months | 28.2 | +0.5 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WDEN2 | Inverse Denver Football, inside six months | 71.8 | -0.5 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WDETR | Detroit Football, inside six months | 16.2 | +2.4 | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WDET2 | Inverse Detroit Football, inside six months | 83.8 | -2.4 | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WELEC | Election — Politics, inside six months | 45.5 | -4.5 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WFEDE | Federal — Economics, inside six months | 41.5 | +2.9 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WGOOG | Google — Tech Science, inside six months | 61.9 | +3.3 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WGREE | Green Bay Football, inside six months | 24.4 | -0.2 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WGRE2 | Inverse Green Bay Football, inside six months | 75.6 | +0.2 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WHIGH | Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 29.1 | -2.7 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WHIG2 | Inverse Higher — Tech Science, inside six months | 70.9 | +2.7 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WHIKE | Hike — Economics, inside six months | 27.5 | -0.5 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WHIK2 | Inverse Hike — Economics, inside six months | 72.5 | +0.5 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WHOUS | Houston Football, inside six months | 18.6 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WHOU2 | Inverse Houston Football, inside six months | 81.4 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WINCR | Increase — Economics, inside six months | 23.9 | -3.9 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WINC2 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside six months | 76.1 | +3.9 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WINC3 | Increase — Economics, inside two months | 38.5 | -1.9 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WINC4 | Inverse Increase — Economics, inside two months | 61.5 | +1.9 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WINC5 | Increases — Economics, inside six months | 17.6 | -0.7 | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WINC6 | Inverse Increases — Economics, inside six months | 82.5 | +0.7 | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WINTE | Interest — Economics, inside six months | 69.7 | -2.6 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WINT2 | Interest — Economics, inside two months | 54.4 | +2.3 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WKANS | Kansas City Football, inside six months | 31.2 | +0.9 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WKAN2 | Inverse Kansas City Football, inside six months | 68.8 | -0.9 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WLASV | Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 23.5 | — | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WLAS2 | Inverse Las Vegas Football, inside six months | 76.5 | — | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WLOSA | Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 35.4 | +3.3 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WLOS2 | Inverse Los Angeles Football, inside six months | 64.6 | -3.3 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WMEET | Meeting — Economics, inside six months | 66.1 | -0.5 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WMEE2 | Meeting — Economics, inside two months | 63.2 | -2.7 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WMEE3 | Meeting — Economics, inside two years | 44.3 | -0.4 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WMIAM | Miami Football, inside six months | 27.9 | — | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WMIA2 | Inverse Miami Football, inside six months | 72.1 | — | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WMIDT | Midterm — Elections, inside six months | 59.5 | +0.7 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WNEWE | New England Football, inside six months | 30.7 | +4.4 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WNEW2 | Inverse New England Football, inside six months | 69.3 | -4.4 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WNEWY | New York Football, inside six months | 18.3 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WNEW3 | Inverse New York Football, inside six months | 81.7 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WOPEN | Openai — Financials, inside six months | 47.2 | +0.6 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WOPE2 | Openai — Financials, inside two years | 49.3 | +5.1 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WPARL | Parliamentary — Elections, inside two months | 58.3 | — | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WPHIL | Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 24.4 | +0.7 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WPHI2 | Inverse Philadelphia Football, inside six months | 75.6 | -0.7 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WPITT | Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 5.5 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WPIT2 | Inverse Pittsburgh Football, inside six months | 94.5 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WPRES | President — Politics, inside six months | 42.3 | -0.4 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WRACE | Race — Elections, inside six months | 82.0 | +3.8 | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WRATE | Rate — Economics, inside six months | 57.7 | +2.8 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WRAT2 | Inverse Rate — Economics, inside six months | 42.3 | -2.8 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WRAT3 | Rate — Economics, inside two months | 57.6 | +1.4 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WRAT4 | Rates — Economics, inside two months | 69.6 | +3.1 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WRELE | Released — Tech Science, inside six months | 58.8 | -3.0 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WRESE | Reserve — Economics, inside six months | 47.2 | -0.1 | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
| WSANF | San Francisco Football, inside six months | 14.1 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very low |
| WSAN2 | Inverse San Francisco Football, inside six months | 85.9 | — | 2026-08-18 | Very high |
| WSCOR | Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 26.7 | -3.4 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WSCO2 | Inverse Score — Tech Science, inside six months | 73.3 | +3.4 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WSEAT | Seats — Elections, inside two months | 61.1 | +0.1 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WSEA2 | Seattle Football, inside six months | 27.7 | -1.2 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WSEA3 | Inverse Seattle Football, inside six months | 72.3 | +1.2 | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WTAYL | Taylor Swift — Culture, inside six months | 29.0 | -3.0 | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WTENN | Tennessee Football, inside six months | 23.4 | — | 2026-08-18 | Low |
| WTEN2 | Inverse Tennessee Football, inside six months | 76.6 | — | 2026-08-18 | Elevated |
| WYORK | York — Sports, inside six months | 41.0 | — | 2026-08-18 | Moderate |
Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.