Monday, August 10, 2026

W.E.T. World Risk Index (WWRI) prints a WET Index Score of 19.3 (Very low), down 0.5.

Fell 0.5 to 19.3 (Very low), led by geopolitical-risk (40% leg) (17→17%) −0.2; commodity-stress (20% leg) (11→10%) −0.1.

The board: 29 of 29 benchmarks live — 2 elevated (≥60), 18 calm (<40).

WET Implied · real-unit readings

• Fed Path (WIFP): next meeting (Sep 2026) prices +8bps expected change (64% hold); cumulative +16.5bps by Dec 2026.
• Inflation (WIIN): Jul 2026 CPI YoY implied at 3.32% (80% band 3.2–3.46%, n=21 strikes).

Overround-normalized, isotonic-repaired readings of Kalshi contract ladders — numbers with units, not sentiment gauges.

What moved

• WSHI 30.7 (▼21.7) — Fell 21.7 to 30.7 (Low), led by Will Amanda Anisimova win the Tararudee vs Anisimov… +16.7; Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 Wyndham Championsh… (left the basket) −1.6; Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? +0.3.
• WSTW 27.4 (▼11.0) — Fell 11.0 to 27.4 (Low), led by Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5… (42→1%) −13.5.
• WFLA 43.0 (▼6.7) — Fell 6.7 to 43.0 (Moderate), led by US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? (31→25%) −1.7; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (13→8%) −1.1; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (15→13%) −0.5.
• WEBI 71.7 (▲6.5) — Rose 6.5 to 71.7 (Elevated), led by Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings? (16→53%) +7.3; Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings? (92→95%) +0.5; Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings? (92→90%) −0.3.
• WELW 35.8 (▼3.0) — Fell 3.0 to 35.8 (Low), led by Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican n… (45→38%) −2.7; Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor R… (45→36%) −1.4; Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-0… (77→69%) +0.7.

Projection watch

• WSTW projected 5.9 in 14d (80% band 0–100), trending down.
• WARI projected 28.6 in 14d (80% band 0–73), trending down.
• WPTI projected 12.9 in 14d (80% band 0–74), trending down.

The full board

Ticker	Index	Score	1d	Regime
WGRI	Geopolitical Risk	16.9	-0.9	Very low & cooling, volatile
WFPI	Fed Path	10.4	+0.9	Very low & climbing
WEHI	Election Heat	48.9	+0.8	Moderate & cooling, volatile
WARI	AI Race	43.5	+0.7	Moderate & climbing, volatile
WRCI	Recession Odds	23.0	-0.8	Low & steady
WCGF	Crypto Greed	22.1	+0.8	Low & climbing, volatile
WCDR	Climate Risk	32.0	+1.0	Low & climbing, volatile
WCHI	Culture Heat	43.3	-0.8	Moderate & cooling, volatile
WPTI	Political Turmoil	26.2	-0.9	Low & cooling, volatile
WCOS	Commodity Stress	9.8	-0.7	Very low & cooling, volatile
WSHI	Sports Heat	30.7	-21.7	Low & cooling, volatile
WEGF	Equity Greed	50.4	+0.5	Moderate & steady
WMID	Midterm Control	54.4	+0.5	Moderate & steady
WELW	Election Week	35.8	-3.0	Low & climbing, volatile
WFLA	Flashpoint Watch	43.0	-6.7	Moderate & cooling
WDCW	Washington Week	34.3	+1.3	Low & climbing
WGEA	Global Easing	27.4	+0.5	Low & steady
WINF	Inflation Watch	45.7	+1.1	Moderate & cooling
WEBI	Earnings Beat	71.7	+6.5	Elevated & cooling, volatile
WBTP	Bitcoin Path	9.3	+0.7	Very low & steady
WALT	Altcoin Heat	31.0	-0.5	Low & climbing
WAWD	Awards Race	52.2	-0.9	Moderate & cooling
WSTW	Storm Watch	27.4	-11.0	Low & cooling, volatile
WFAV	Favorites Combo	64.8	—	Elevated
WSOC	Soccer Heat	33.5	-0.8	Low & cooling, volatile
WNFL	Gridiron Futures	50.1	-0.6	Moderate & cooling
WWRI	World Risk	19.3	-0.5	Very low & steady, volatile
WMSI	Macro Stress	15.2	-1.1	Very low & steady
WUPR	US Political Risk	30.7	-0.6	Low & cooling

Benchmark readings of prediction-market prices — data, not advice. Every method is published.